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Expand Energy Corporation

EXEEZ·NASDAQ

$95.28

+0.0000%
EnergyOil & Gas Energy

Expand Energy Corporation operates as an independent exploration and production company in the United States. It engages in acquisition, exploration, and development of properties to produce oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids from underground reservoirs. The company holds interests in natural gas resource plays in the Marcellus Shale in the northern Appalachian Basin in Pennsylvania and the Haynesville/Bossier Shales in northwestern Louisiana. As of December 31, 2023, the company owns a portfolio of onshore U.S. unconventional natural gas assets, including interests in approximately 5,000 natural gas wells. The company was formerly known as Chesapeake Energy Corporation and changed its name to Expand Energy Corporation in October 2024. Expand Energy Corporation was founded in 1989 and is based in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$22.61B
EPS7.6700
P/E Ratio12.42
Earnings Date02/18/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal · Driver · Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is compressed (P/E 12.4).

Valuation inputs: P/E 12.4, earnings yield +8.1%, momentum 0.0%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE 0.0%, ROIC 0.0%).

Profitability stack: net margin +15.0%, ROE 0.0%, ROIC 0.0%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Downside profile looks controlled across current risk inputs.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +37.0%, momentum 0.0%, net margin +15.0%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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Expand Energy Corporation Market vs Earnings Trajectory

EXEEZ · NASDAQ
Current Price
$95.28
EPS (TTM)
$7.67

Performance Analysis

EPS Growth

+2118.4%

Strong earnings growth indicates robust business expansion and improving profitability.

Price-EPS Relationship

Divergent

Earnings are growing but price is falling—potential undervaluation opportunity if growth continues.

Stock Price Change

-11.2%

Over the 1Y period, stock price has decreased by 11.2%.

P/E Ratio (TTM)

12.4x

Relatively low P/E may indicate undervaluation or lower growth expectations.

Key Insight

Strong earnings growth (+2118.4%) is outpacing price appreciation (+-11.2%), potentially indicating an attractive entry point as the market may not have fully recognized the improving fundamentals.

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Expand Energy Corporation Fair Value Envelope

EXEEZ · NASDAQ

Our analysis suggests that EXEEZ has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $95.28, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Expand Energy Corporation.

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $95.28
3Y-79.0%
5Y-101.0%
10Y-101.0%
3Y-14.0%
5Y+163.0%
10Y+39.0%
3Y-63.0%
5Y-119.0%
10Y-141.0%
3Y+11.0%
5Y+293.0%
10Y-2343.0%
3Y-20.0%
5Y+8259.0%
10Y-179.0%
3Y+153.0%
5Y+72.0%
10Y+61.0%
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Expand Energy Corporation Profit Bridge

EXEEZ · NASDAQ
Revenue12.12B
Cost of Goods Sold (2.38B)
Gross Profit9.75B
Operating Expenses (7.28B)
Operating Income2.47B
Interest Expense (-235.00M)
Other Income/Expense-189.00M
Pretax Income2.28B
Income Tax (463.00M)
Net Income1.82B
Net Income
1.82B

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

80.4%

Exceptional pricing power and cost management. The company retains over half of revenue after direct costs.

Operating Margin

20.4%

Healthy operating margins demonstrate effective cost control and strong business fundamentals.

Net Profit Margin

15.0%

Strong net margins indicate efficient operations and favorable tax/interest management.

Effective Tax Rate

20.3%

Moderate tax rate typical for most corporations. Represents standard tax burden on profits.

Profitability Insight

Exceptional profitability across all levels: Strong pricing power, efficient operations, and healthy bottom line indicate a high-quality business with sustainable competitive advantages.

80.40%
Gross Profit Margin
-1514%
3Y+79.0%
5Y-1021.0%
10Y+3054.0%
20.38%
Operating Profit Margin
-214%
3Y-53.0%
5Y-240.0%
10Y-10584.0%
15.00%
Net Profit Margin
-189%
3Y-57.0%
5Y-107.0%
10Y-130.0%
0.00%
Return on Equity
-100%
3Y-100.0%
5Y-100.0%
10Y-100.0%
0.00%
Return on Assets
-100%
3Y-100.0%
5Y-100.0%
10Y-100.0%
0.00%
Return on Invested Capital
-100%
3Y-100.0%
5Y-100.0%
10Y-100.0%
E

Expand Energy Corporation Cash Conversion Engine

EXEEZ · NASDAQ
Net Income1.82B
Depreciation & Amortization2.98B
Stock-Based Compensation46.00M
Change in Working Capital0.00
Others-718.00M
Capital Expenditures-2.74B
Free Cash Flow1.84B

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

101.1%

Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.

CapEx Intensity

59.8%

Capital-intensive operations require significant reinvestment. Monitor whether CapEx is maintenance or growth-oriented.

FCF Growth Trend

+61400.0%

Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.

Working Capital Impact

+$0.00

Neutral working capital impact. Changes in current assets and liabilities balanced out.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Exceptional cash generation: High-quality earnings converting to growing free cash flow. The company demonstrates strong pricing power, efficient operations, and disciplined capital allocation.

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Expand Energy Corporation Funding & Solvency Profile

EXEEZ · NASDAQ
Cash & Cash Equivalents616.00M
Net Receivables1.60B
Inventory0.00
Other Current Assets701.00M
Total Current Assets3 B
Property, Plant & Equipment509.00M
Goodwill & Intangible Assets0.00
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets24.69B
Total Non-Current Assets25 B
Total Assets
28.29B

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

1.01x

Acceptable liquidity, but monitor closely. Current assets just barely cover current liabilities.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

0.52x

Balanced capital structure with moderate leverage. Equity exceeds debt, suggesting healthy financial stability.

Working Capital

15 M

Positive working capital, but relatively tight. The company should monitor cash flow carefully.

Asset Composition

10% Current

Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.

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Expand Energy Corporation Street Expectations Map

EXEEZ · NASDAQ

No Target Data

No analyst price targets available for exeez.

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Expand Energy Corporation Insider Positioning

EXEEZ · NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, there has been no insider trading activity reported for EXEEZ.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

No selling activity

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Neutral

No insider trading activity reported. This could indicate blackout periods, lack of conviction, or regulatory restrictions.

Insider Participation

No Activity

No insider trading activity reported from any insiders in the past year.

568.85%
Dividend Yield
37642%
3Y+10295.0%
5Y-
10Y+1204.0%
 

exeez Dividend History

EXEEZ
10Y CAGR +0%
Latest $0
Annual $0
Stable dividend payments
Last Period: +0%