Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc.
$6.73
-4.8%Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. provides artificial intelligence (AI)-based touchless security screening systems. Its products include Evolv Express, a touchless security screening system designed to detect firearms, improvised explosive devices, and tactical knives as visitors walk through at a normal pace; Evolv Insights that provides self-serve access, insights regarding visitor flow and arrival curves, location specific performance, system detection performance, and alarm statistics; and Evolv Edge to detect non-metallic explosive devices, explosive devices, firearms, and tactical knives without requiring visitors to divest or empty their pockets. The company is headquartered in Waltham, Massachusetts.
At a Glance
Live SnapshotIntrinsic Alpha Methodology
Thesis Lenses
Signal
Medium confidenceValuation multiple is compressed (P/E -36.4).
Valuation inputs: P/E -36.4, earnings yield N/A, momentum -4.8%.
If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.
Driver
High confidenceReturn profile is soft (ROE -27.8%, ROIC -24.3%).
Profitability stack: net margin -22.7%, ROE -27.8%, ROIC -24.3%.
Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.
Risk
High confidenceRisk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.
Risk factors: liabilities/assets +60.8%, momentum -4.8%, net margin -22.7%.
Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.
Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory
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Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. Fair Value Envelope
Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. Profit Bridge
Profitability Analysis
Gross Margin
Exceptional pricing power and cost management. The company retains over half of revenue after direct costs.
Operating Margin
Operating losses indicate the core business is unprofitable. Requires restructuring or revenue growth.
Net Profit Margin
Net losses indicate the company is burning cash. Sustainability depends on path to profitability.
Profitability Insight
Margin squeeze alert: Healthy gross margins but weak operating margins suggest excessive operating expenses. Cost optimization could unlock significant value.
Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine
Cash Flow Quality Analysis
FCF Conversion Rate
Weak cash conversion. Significant portion of earnings not converting to cash—review working capital trends and capital intensity.
CapEx Intensity
Very high capital intensity consumes most operating cash flow. Limited flexibility for dividends or debt reduction.
FCF Growth Trend
Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.
Working Capital Impact
Working capital inflow boosted cash flow. Efficient management of receivables, inventory, and payables contributing positively.
Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile
Financial Health Analysis
Current Ratio
Acceptable liquidity, but monitor closely. Current assets just barely cover current liabilities.
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
Elevated leverage. Debt exceeds equity, which amplifies both gains and risks. Monitor debt servicing ability.
Working Capital
Positive working capital, but relatively tight. The company should monitor cash flow carefully.
Asset Composition
Balanced asset mix between current and non-current assets, typical of many stable businesses.
Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. Street Expectations Map
Wall Street analysts project that EVLV stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 10.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 10.00 to a high of 10.00.
The consensus 1-year price target stands at 10.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 10.00 to a high of 10.00.
Analyst Consensus Analysis
Upside Potential
Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.
Analyst Agreement
High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.
Analyst Conviction
Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.
Market Sentiment Insight
Rare opportunity: Exceptional upside potential with strong analyst consensus creates a compelling setup. The combination of significant price target premium and tight agreement suggests high-conviction undervaluation that may attract institutional capital.
Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. Insider Positioning
During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $376K and sold $4.73M worth of EVLV shares, resulting in $4.35M of net selling activity.
3 Months
0
0.00
304.7K
1.81M
-1.8M
-$1.81M
3-6 Months
0
0.00
399.5K
2.45M
-2.5M
-$2.45M
6-9 Months
109.4K
375.65K
80.7K
468.32K
-93K
-$93K
9-12 Months
0
0.00
0
0.00
+0
+$0
Top Buyers
Shapiro Richard A
Director
$180K
Charlton Kevin M.
Director
$85K
Kedzierski John
Director, Officer: President & Ceo
$47K
Marshall Robert E
Officer: Chief Revenue Officer
$42K
Chitkara Anil
Officer: Founder & Chief Growth Officer
$21K
Top Sellers
Ellenbogen Michael
Director
$3.83M
Kedzierski John
Director, Officer: President & Ceo
$522K
Kutsor George C
Officer: Chief Financial Officer
$374K
Insider Activity Analysis
Net Insider Sentiment
Strong bearish signal with $4.35M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.
Buy/Sell Ratio
Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.
Recent Trend (3 Months)
Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchases—may warrant investigation into company developments.
Insider Participation
5 insider buyers vs. 3 sellers. More insiders buying than selling indicates positive sentiment.
Insider Activity Insight
Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.
No Dividend Yield Data
EVLV has not reported any dividend yield values in the available annual periods.
evlv Dividend History
Learning Layer
Related Guides
Build conviction on EVLV by pairing this stock hub with focused valuation guides.
Research Paths
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.