Distribution Solutions Group, Inc.
$27.47
-1.0%Lawson Products, Inc. sells and distributes specialty products to the industrial, commercial, institutional, and government maintenance, repair, and operations market. It sells its products to customers in the United States, Puerto Rico, Canada, Mexico, and the Caribbean. The company was founded in 1952 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
At a Glance
Live SnapshotIntrinsic Alpha Methodology
Thesis Lenses
Signal
High confidenceValuation multiple is elevated (P/E 152.6).
Valuation inputs: P/E 152.6, earnings yield +0.7%, momentum -1.0%.
If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.
Driver
High confidenceReturn profile is soft (ROE +1.3%, ROIC +2.5%).
Profitability stack: net margin +0.4%, ROE +1.3%, ROIC +2.5%.
Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.
Risk
High confidenceRisk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.
Risk factors: liabilities/assets +62.9%, momentum -1.0%, net margin +0.4%.
Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.
Distribution Solutions Group, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory
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Distribution Solutions Group, Inc. Fair Value Envelope
Distribution Solutions Group, Inc. Profit Bridge
Profitability Analysis
Gross Margin
Moderate margins typical of competitive industries. Monitor for pricing pressure or rising costs.
Operating Margin
Minimal operating profit suggests high operating costs or pricing challenges. Scalability is concerning.
Net Profit Margin
Minimal profitability after all expenses. Limited financial flexibility for reinvestment or shareholder returns.
Effective Tax Rate
Higher tax burden may reflect limited tax optimization or operations in high-tax jurisdictions.
Profitability Insight
Margin squeeze alert: Healthy gross margins but weak operating margins suggest excessive operating expenses. Cost optimization could unlock significant value.
Distribution Solutions Group, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine
Cash Flow Quality Analysis
FCF Conversion Rate
Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.
CapEx Intensity
Capital-intensive operations require significant reinvestment. Monitor whether CapEx is maintenance or growth-oriented.
FCF Growth Trend
Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.
Working Capital Impact
Moderate working capital outflow. Typical for growing businesses, but ensure it's supporting revenue growth, not inefficiency.
Cash Flow Quality Insight
Exceptional cash generation: High-quality earnings converting to growing free cash flow. The company demonstrates strong pricing power, efficient operations, and disciplined capital allocation.
Distribution Solutions Group, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile
Financial Health Analysis
Current Ratio
Excellent liquidity position. The company can easily cover its short-term obligations with substantial cushion.
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
Elevated leverage. Debt exceeds equity, which amplifies both gains and risks. Monitor debt servicing ability.
Working Capital
Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.
Asset Composition
Balanced asset mix between current and non-current assets, typical of many stable businesses.
Financial Health Insight
Mixed signals: Strong short-term liquidity provides comfort, but high overall leverage requires careful monitoring of debt servicing capabilities and refinancing risk.
Distribution Solutions Group, Inc. Street Expectations Map
Wall Street analysts project that DSGR stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 33.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 33.00 to a high of 33.00.
The consensus 1-year price target stands at 33.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 33.00 to a high of 33.00.
Analyst Consensus Analysis
Upside Potential
Strong upside potential. Consensus indicates attractive return opportunity with favorable risk-reward profile.
Analyst Agreement
High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.
Analyst Conviction
Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.
Market Sentiment Insight
Rare opportunity: Exceptional upside potential with strong analyst consensus creates a compelling setup. The combination of significant price target premium and tight agreement suggests high-conviction undervaluation that may attract institutional capital.
Distribution Solutions Group, Inc. Insider Positioning
During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $3.80M and sold $282K worth of DSGR shares, resulting in $3.52M of net buying activity.
3 Months
14.0K
297.22K
0
0.00
+297K
+$297K
3-6 Months
0
0.00
0
0.00
+0
+$0
6-9 Months
0
0.00
5.4K
66.10K
-66K
-$66K
9-12 Months
100.0K
3.50M
17.5K
215.93K
+3.3M
+$3.28M
Top Buyers
Litwin Barry
Officer: Te Chief Executive Officer
$3.50M
Zamarripa Robert
Director
$297K
Top Sellers
Knutson Ronald J
Officer: Evp Cfo & Treasurer
$216K
Pufpaf Richard D
Officer: Svp And General Counsel
$66K
Insider Activity Analysis
Net Insider Sentiment
Strong bullish signal with $3.52M net buying. Insiders are aggressively accumulating shares, suggesting significant confidence in future prospects.
Buy/Sell Ratio
Exceptional buy/sell ratio. Buying dramatically outweighs selling—one of the strongest possible insider signals.
Recent Trend (3 Months)
Very strong recent buying momentum. Recent insider purchases significantly outpace sales, suggesting near-term optimism.
Insider Participation
2 insider buyers and 2 sellers. Equal participation suggests mixed or neutral insider views.
Insider Activity Insight
Compelling insider conviction: The combination of strong buy/sell ratio and multiple buyers suggests insiders see attractive risk/reward. Consider this alongside fundamental analysis for confirmation.
No Dividend Yield Data
DSGR has not reported any dividend yield values in the available annual periods.
dsgr Dividend History
Learning Layer
Related Guides
Build conviction on DSGR by pairing this stock hub with focused valuation guides.
Research Paths
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.