Domino's Pizza, Inc.
$306.77
-0.25%Domino's Pizza, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a pizza company in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: U.S. Stores, International Franchise, and Supply Chain. The company offers pizzas under the Domino's brand name through company-owned and franchised stores. It also provides oven-baked sandwiches, pasta, boneless chicken and chicken wings, bread and dips side items, desserts, and soft drink products. As of January 2, 2022, the company operated approximately 18,800 stores in 90 markets. Domino's Pizza, Inc. was founded in 1960 and is based in Ann Arbor, Michigan.
At a Glance
Live SnapshotIntrinsic Alpha Methodology
Thesis Lenses
Signal
High confidenceValuation multiple is mid-range (P/E 17.3).
Valuation inputs: P/E 17.3, earnings yield +5.8%, momentum -0.2%.
If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.
Driver
High confidenceReturn profile is strong (ROE -15.4%, ROIC +56.7%).
Profitability stack: net margin +12.2%, ROE -15.4%, ROIC +56.7%.
Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.
Risk
High confidenceDownside profile is elevated and scenario stress-testing is essential.
Risk factors: liabilities/assets +316.6%, momentum -0.2%, net margin +12.2%.
Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.
Domino's Pizza, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory
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Domino's Pizza, Inc. Fair Value Envelope
Domino's Pizza, Inc. Profit Bridge
Profitability Analysis
Gross Margin
Strong gross margins indicate healthy pricing and efficient production or service delivery.
Operating Margin
Healthy operating margins demonstrate effective cost control and strong business fundamentals.
Net Profit Margin
Strong net margins indicate efficient operations and favorable tax/interest management.
Effective Tax Rate
Moderate tax rate typical for most corporations. Represents standard tax burden on profits.
Profitability Insight
Room for improvement: Moderate profitability with opportunities to enhance margins through better cost management or pricing strategy.
Domino's Pizza, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine
Cash Flow Quality Analysis
FCF Conversion Rate
Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.
CapEx Intensity
Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.
FCF Growth Trend
Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.
Working Capital Impact
Working capital inflow boosted cash flow. Efficient management of receivables, inventory, and payables contributing positively.
Cash Flow Quality Insight
Exceptional cash generation: High-quality earnings converting to growing free cash flow. The company demonstrates strong pricing power, efficient operations, and disciplined capital allocation.
Domino's Pizza, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile
Financial Health Analysis
Current Ratio
Strong liquidity. The company has adequate resources to meet short-term liabilities.
Working Capital
Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.
Asset Composition
Balanced asset mix between current and non-current assets, typical of many stable businesses.
Domino's Pizza, Inc. Street Expectations Map
Wall Street analysts project that DPZ stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 425.94, with estimates ranging from a low of 315.00 to a high of 540.00.
The consensus 1-year price target stands at 425.94, with estimates ranging from a low of 315.00 to a high of 540.00.
Analyst Consensus Analysis
Upside Potential
Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.
Analyst Agreement
Mixed analyst views. Wide target range suggests differing opinions on key value drivers, growth prospects, or risk factors.
Analyst Conviction
Bearish or uncertain outlook. Limited upside or poor consensus suggests challenges ahead or fundamental concerns.
Market Sentiment Insight
High risk, high reward: Substantial upside potential exists, but wide analyst disagreement signals execution risk or unclear catalysts. Thorough due diligence essential before committing capital.
Domino's Pizza, Inc. Insider Positioning
During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $3.36M worth of DPZ shares, with no buying activity reported.
3 Months
0
0.00
3.0K
1.11M
-1.1M
-$1.11M
3-6 Months
0
0.00
4.9K
2.11M
-2.1M
-$2.11M
6-9 Months
0
0.00
0
0.00
+0
+$0
9-12 Months
0
0.00
300
135.60K
-136K
-$136K
Top Buyers
No buying activity
Top Sellers
Garcia Kelly E
Officer: Evp, Chief Tech & Data Ofcr
$2.43M
Sandeep Reddy
Officer: Evp, Chief Financial Officer
$464K
Headen Cynthia A
Officer: Evp, Chief Supply Chain Offr
$293K
Goldman James A
Director
$136K
Parrish Jessica L
Other: Vp, Chief Accounting Officer
$37K
Insider Activity Analysis
Net Insider Sentiment
Strong bearish signal with $3.36M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.
Buy/Sell Ratio
Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.
Recent Trend (3 Months)
Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchases—may warrant investigation into company developments.
Insider Participation
5 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.
Insider Activity Insight
Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.
dpz Dividend History
Learning Layer
Related Guides
Build conviction on DPZ by pairing this stock hub with focused valuation guides.
Research Paths
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.