Datadog, Inc.

Datadog, Inc.

DDOGยทNASDAQ

$250.33

-9.8%
TechnologySoftware - Application

Datadog, Inc. provides monitoring and analytics platform for developers, information technology operations teams, and business users in the cloud in North America and internationally. The company's SaaS platform integrates and automates infrastructure monitoring, application performance monitoring, log management, and security monitoring to provide real-time observability of its customers technology stack. Its platform also provides user experience monitoring, network performance monitoring, cloud security, developer-focused observability, and incident management, as well as a range of shared features, such as dashboards, analytics, collaboration tools, and alerting capabilities. The company was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$89.11B
EPS0.3100
P/E Ratio807.52
Earnings Date08/06/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is elevated (P/E 807.5).

Valuation inputs: P/E 807.5, earnings yield +0.1%, momentum -9.8%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE +2.9%, ROIC -0.7%).

Profitability stack: net margin +3.1%, ROE +2.9%, ROIC -0.7%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Downside profile is elevated and scenario stress-testing is essential.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +43.8%, momentum -9.8%, net margin +3.1%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

ddog

Datadog, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

DDOG ยท NASDAQ

Loading price and EPS data...

Datadog, Inc.

Datadog, Inc. Fair Value Envelope

DDOG ยท NASDAQ

Our analysis suggests that DDOG has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $250.33, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Datadog, Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $250.33
3Y-294.0%
5Y-479.0%
10Y-1060.0%
3Y+105.0%
5Y+468.0%
10Y+3301.0%
3Y-315.0%
5Y-539.0%
10Y-4292.0%
3Y+151.0%
5Y+863.0%
10Y+7492.0%
3Y+183.0%
5Y+1102.0%
10Y+16496.0%
3Y+121.0%
5Y+251.0%
10Y+5129.0%
Datadog, Inc.

Datadog, Inc. Profit Bridge

DDOG ยท NASDAQ
Revenue3.43B
Cost of Goods Sold (686.96M)
Gross Profit2.74B
Operating Expenses (2.78B)
Operating Income-44.37M
Interest Expense (11.06M)
Other Income/Expense171.39M
Pretax Income127.02M
Income Tax (19.28M)
Net Income107.74M
Net Income
107.74M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

80.0%

Exceptional pricing power and cost management. The company retains over half of revenue after direct costs.

Operating Margin

-1.3%

Operating losses indicate the core business is unprofitable. Requires restructuring or revenue growth.

Net Profit Margin

3.1%

Minimal profitability after all expenses. Limited financial flexibility for reinvestment or shareholder returns.

Effective Tax Rate

15.2%

Moderate tax rate typical for most corporations. Represents standard tax burden on profits.

Profitability Insight

Margin squeeze alert: Healthy gross margins but weak operating margins suggest excessive operating expenses. Cost optimization could unlock significant value.

79.96%
Gross Profit Margin
-1%
3Y+1.0%
5Y+2.0%
10Y+4.0%
-1.29%
Operating Profit Margin
-164%
3Y-63.0%
5Y-43.0%
10Y-56.0%
3.14%
Net Profit Margin
-54%
3Y-205.0%
5Y-177.0%
10Y-223.0%
2.89%
Return on Equity
-57%
3Y-181.0%
5Y-213.0%
10Y-15.0%
1.62%
Return on Assets
-49%
3Y-197.0%
5Y-225.0%
10Y-180.0%
-0.74%
Return on Invested Capital
-169%
3Y-71.0%
5Y-14.0%
10Y-86.0%
DDOG

Datadog, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine

DDOG ยท NASDAQ
Net Income107.74M
Depreciation & Amortization122.53M
Stock-Based Compensation0.00
Change in Working Capital53.49M
Others766.37M
Capital Expenditures-49.58M
Free Cash Flow1.00B

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

928.7%

Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.

CapEx Intensity

4.7%

Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.

FCF Growth Trend

+19.7%

Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.

Working Capital Impact

+$53.49M

Working capital inflow boosted cash flow. Efficient management of receivables, inventory, and payables contributing positively.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Exceptional cash generation: High-quality earnings converting to growing free cash flow. The company demonstrates strong pricing power, efficient operations, and disciplined capital allocation.

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Datadog, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile

DDOG ยท NASDAQ
Cash & Cash Equivalents426.36M
Net Receivables680.43M
Inventory0.00
Other Current Assets186.16M
Total Current Assets6 B
Property, Plant & Equipment592.20M
Goodwill & Intangible Assets555.47M
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets179.13M
Total Non-Current Assets771 M
Total Assets
6.95B

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

3.40x

Excellent liquidity position. The company can easily cover its short-term obligations with substantial cushion.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

0.74x

Balanced capital structure with moderate leverage. Equity exceeds debt, suggesting healthy financial stability.

Working Capital

4 B

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

81% Current

Asset-light business model with high liquidity. Majority of assets are easily convertible to cash.

Financial Health Insight

Strong financial foundation: Excellent liquidity combined with conservative leverage suggests the company is well-positioned to weather economic uncertainties and fund growth opportunities.

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Datadog, Inc. Street Expectations Map

DDOG ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that DDOG stock may decline over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 209.58, with estimates ranging from a low of 139.00 to a high of 305.00.

Lowest Target
139.00
-44.47%
Consensus Target
209.58
-16.28%
Highest Target
305.00
21.84%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 209.58, with estimates ranging from a low of 139.00 to a high of 305.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

-16.3%

Significant downside risk. Stock trading well above analyst consensus suggests elevated valuation concerns and potential correction.

Analyst Agreement

79.2% spread

High uncertainty. Very wide target spread indicates significant disagreement among analystsโ€”major valuation uncertainty or transformation underway.

Risk-Reward Profile

0.49x

Unfavorable risk-reward. Downside risk exceeds upside potential. Consider defensive positioning or alternative opportunities.

Analyst Conviction

Low

High uncertainty: Wide dispersion indicates analysts struggle to agree on valuationโ€”proceed with caution and independent analysis.

Market Sentiment Insight

Extreme uncertainty: Massive dispersion in price targets reflects fundamental disagreement on business trajectory. This could signal transformation, disruption, or complex valuationโ€”requires deep sector expertise and contrarian mindset.

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Datadog, Inc. Insider Positioning

DDOG ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $189.63M worth of DDOG shares, with no buying activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

224.2K

36.07M

Net Activity

-36.1M

-$36.07M

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

329.1K

37.80M

Net Activity

-37.8M

-$37.80M

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

346.6K

56.38M

Net Activity

-56.4M

-$56.38M

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

454.3K

59.39M

Net Activity

-59.4M

-$59.39M

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

1
PO

Pomel Olivier

Director, Officer: Chief Executive Officer

339.5K sharesโ€ข19 transactions

$47.27M

2
JM

Jacobson Matthew

Director

146.5K sharesโ€ข9 transactions

$25.82M

3
AA

Agarwal Amit

Director

138.3K sharesโ€ข16 transactions

$18.29M

4
CMJ

Callahan Michael James

Director

112.5K sharesโ€ข3 transactions

$18.13M

5
LA

Le-Quoc Alexis

Director, Officer: Chief Technology Officer

136.9K sharesโ€ข16 transactions

$17.31M

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $189.63M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$36.07M

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโ€”may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

High Selling

5 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

Insider Activity Insight

Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.

0.00%
Dividend Yield
3Y-
5Y-
10Y-
ย 

ddog Dividend History

DDOG
10Y CAGR +0%
Latest $0
Annual $0
Stable dividend payments
Last Period: +0%