Covenant Logistics Group, Inc.

Covenant Logistics Group, Inc.

CVLGยทNASDAQ

$29.11

+1.0%
IndustrialsTrucking

Covenant Logistics Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides transportation and logistics services in the United States. It operates through four segments: Expedited, Dedicated, Managed Freight, and Warehousing. The Expedited segment primarily provides truckload services with high service freight and delivery standards, such as 1,000 miles in 22 hours or 15-minute delivery windows. The Dedicated segment provides customers with committed truckload capacity over contracted periods using equipment either owned or leased by the company. The Managed Freight segment offers brokerage services, including logistics capacity by outsourcing the carriage of customers' freight to third parties; and transport management services, such as logistics services on a contractual basis to customers who prefer to outsource their logistics needs. The Warehousing segment provides day-to-day warehouse management services to customers. The segment also provides shuttle and switching services to shuttling containers and trailers. The company also engages in used equipment sales and leasing business. It serves transportation companies, such as parcel freight forwarders, less-than-truckload carriers, and third-party logistics providers; and traditional truckload customers, including manufacturers, retailers, and food and beverage shippers. As of December 31, 2021, it operated 2,291 tractors and 5,331 trailers. The company was formerly known as Covenant Transportation Group, Inc. and changed its name to Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. in July 2020. Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. was founded in 1986 and is based in Chattanooga, Tennessee.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$730.74M
EPS0.2800
P/E Ratio103.96
Earnings Date04/21/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is elevated (P/E 104.0).

Valuation inputs: P/E 104.0, earnings yield +1.0%, momentum +1.0%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE 0.0%, ROIC 0.0%).

Profitability stack: net margin +0.6%, ROE 0.0%, ROIC 0.0%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Risk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +56.1%, momentum +1.0%, net margin +0.6%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

CVLG ยท NASDAQ

Loading price and EPS data...

Covenant Logistics Group, Inc.

Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. Fair Value Envelope

CVLG ยท NASDAQ

Our analysis suggests that CVLG has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $29.11, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Covenant Logistics Group, Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $29.11
3Y-92.0%
5Y-135.0%
10Y-70.0%
3Y-4.0%
5Y+39.0%
10Y+74.0%
3Y-93.0%
5Y-117.0%
10Y-57.0%
3Y+68.0%
5Y+92.0%
10Y+44.0%
3Y-179.0%
5Y-59.0%
10Y-69.0%
3Y+53.0%
5Y+13.0%
10Y+54.0%
Covenant Logistics Group, Inc.

Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. Profit Bridge

CVLG ยท NASDAQ
Revenue1.16B
Cost of Goods Sold (0.00)
Gross Profit0.00
Operating Expenses (1.16B)
Operating Income2.94M
Interest Expense (12.05M)
Other Income/Expense2.65M
Pretax Income5.59M
Income Tax (1.18M)
Net Income7.24M
Net Income
7.24M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

0.0%

Thin margins leave little room for error. Cost management and pricing strategy are critical.

Operating Margin

0.3%

Minimal operating profit suggests high operating costs or pricing challenges. Scalability is concerning.

Net Profit Margin

0.6%

Minimal profitability after all expenses. Limited financial flexibility for reinvestment or shareholder returns.

Effective Tax Rate

21.1%

Moderate tax rate typical for most corporations. Represents standard tax burden on profits.

Profitability Insight

Efficient profit conversion: Minimal margin compression from gross to net indicates lean operations and favorable tax/interest environment.

0.00%
Gross Profit Margin
-100%
3Y-100.0%
5Y-100.0%
10Y-100.0%
0.25%
Operating Profit Margin
-94%
3Y-96.0%
5Y-115.0%
10Y-95.0%
0.62%
Net Profit Margin
-80%
3Y-93.0%
5Y-112.0%
10Y-75.0%
0.00%
Return on Equity
-100%
3Y-100.0%
5Y-100.0%
10Y-100.0%
0.00%
Return on Assets
-100%
3Y-100.0%
5Y-100.0%
10Y-100.0%
0.00%
Return on Invested Capital
-100%
3Y-100.0%
5Y-100.0%
10Y-100.0%
CVLG

Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine

CVLG ยท NASDAQ
Net Income35.92M
Depreciation & Amortization86.53M
Stock-Based Compensation3.69M
Change in Working Capital2.93M
Others-9.47M
Capital Expenditures-152.96M
Free Cash Flow-30.07M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

-83.7%

Negative free cash flow despite positive earnings raises concerns about cash generation ability or heavy capital requirements.

CapEx Intensity

124.5%

Very high capital intensity consumes most operating cash flow. Limited flexibility for dividends or debt reduction.

FCF Growth Trend

+77.4%

Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.

Working Capital Impact

+$2.93M

Working capital inflow boosted cash flow. Efficient management of receivables, inventory, and payables contributing positively.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Cash flow concerns: Despite profitability, the company is burning cash. Review working capital management, CapEx levels, and sustainability of current operations.

cvlg

Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile

CVLG ยท NASDAQ
Cash & Cash Equivalents296.30M
Net Receivables0.00
Inventory0.00
Other Current Assets0.00
Total Current Assets296 M
Property, Plant & Equipment0.00
Goodwill & Intangible Assets0.00
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets0.00
Total Non-Current Assets0
Total Assets
1.05B

Financial Health Analysis

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

1.59x

Elevated leverage. Debt exceeds equity, which amplifies both gains and risks. Monitor debt servicing ability.

Working Capital

296 M

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

28% Current

Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.

cvlg

Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. Street Expectations Map

CVLG ยท NASDAQ

No Target Data

No analyst price targets available for cvlg.

cvlg

Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. Insider Positioning

CVLG ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, there has been no insider trading activity reported for CVLG.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

No selling activity

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Neutral

No insider trading activity reported. This could indicate blackout periods, lack of conviction, or regulatory restrictions.

Insider Participation

No Activity

No insider trading activity reported from any insiders in the past year.

0.32%
Dividend Yield
2%
3Y+36.0%
5Y-
10Y-
ย 

cvlg Dividend History

CVLG
10Y CAGR +8%
Latest $0.07
Annual $0.335
5 year growth trend
Last Period: +0%