ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc.

ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc.

CNOBยทNASDAQ

$30.36

-1.1%
Financial ServicesBanks - Regional

ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for ConnectOne Bank that provides commercial banking products and services for small and mid-sized businesses, local professionals, and individuals in the Northern New Jersey and New York Metropolitan area, and South Florida market. The company offers personal and business checking, retirement, money market, and time and savings accounts. It also provides consumer and commercial business loans on a secured and unsecured basis; revolving lines of credit; commercial mortgage loans; residential mortgages on primary and secondary residences; home equity loans; bridge loans; other personal purpose loans; and commercial construction and real estate loans. In addition, the company offers check cards, ATM cards, credit cards, wire transfers, access to automated teller services, Internet banking, treasury direct, automated clearing house origination, mobile banking by phone, safe deposit boxes, and remote deposit capture services. It operates through a network of eight banking offices in Bergen County, five banking offices in Union County, one banking office in Morris County, one office in Essex County, one office in Hudson County, one office in Monmouth County, one banking office in Manhattan in New York City, one office in Nassau County on Long Island, one in Astoria, and five branches in the Hudson Valley, as well as one financial center in West Palm Beach in Palm Beach County. The company was formerly known as Center Bancorp, Inc. and changed its name to ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. in July 2014. ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. was incorporated in 1982 and is headquartered in Englewood Cliffs, New Jersey.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$1.53B
EPS1.4800
P/E Ratio19.82
Earnings Date08/04/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is mid-range (P/E 19.8).

Valuation inputs: P/E 19.8, earnings yield +5.0%, momentum -1.1%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE +5.1%, ROIC +0.6%).

Profitability stack: net margin +13.3%, ROE +5.1%, ROIC +0.6%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Downside profile is elevated and scenario stress-testing is essential.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +88.8%, momentum -1.1%, net margin +13.3%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

CNOB ยท NASDAQ

Loading price and EPS data...

ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc.

ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. Fair Value Envelope

CNOB ยท NASDAQ

Our analysis suggests that CNOB has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $30.36, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $30.36
3Y-51.0%
5Y-18.0%
10Y+45.0%
3Y+57.0%
5Y+88.0%
10Y+254.0%
3Y-36.0%
5Y+13.0%
10Y+159.0%
3Y-40.0%
5Y+31.0%
10Y+114.0%
3Y-42.0%
5Y+28.0%
10Y+115.0%
3Y+45.0%
5Y+86.0%
10Y+216.0%
ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc.

ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. Profit Bridge

CNOB ยท NASDAQ
Revenue606.47M
Cost of Goods Sold (338.62M)
Gross Profit267.86M
Operating Expenses (155.11M)
Operating Income112.74M
Interest Expense (291.62M)
Other Income/Expense0.00
Pretax Income112.74M
Income Tax (32.30M)
Net Income80.44M
Net Income
80.44M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

44.2%

Strong gross margins indicate healthy pricing and efficient production or service delivery.

Operating Margin

18.6%

Healthy operating margins demonstrate effective cost control and strong business fundamentals.

Net Profit Margin

13.3%

Strong net margins indicate efficient operations and favorable tax/interest management.

Effective Tax Rate

28.6%

Higher tax burden may reflect limited tax optimization or operations in high-tax jurisdictions.

Profitability Insight

Room for improvement: Moderate profitability with opportunities to enhance margins through better cost management or pricing strategy.

44.17%
Gross Profit Margin
-6%
3Y-43.0%
5Y-33.0%
10Y-25.0%
18.59%
Operating Profit Margin
1%
3Y-58.0%
5Y-34.0%
10Y-26.0%
13.26%
Net Profit Margin
-4%
3Y-59.0%
5Y-40.0%
10Y-27.0%
5.11%
Return on Equity
-14%
3Y-52.0%
5Y-34.0%
10Y-13.0%
0.57%
Return on Assets
-23%
3Y-56.0%
5Y-39.0%
10Y-18.0%
0.62%
Return on Invested Capital
-83%
3Y-89.0%
5Y-86.0%
10Y-79.0%
CNOB

ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine

CNOB ยท NASDAQ
Net Income80.44M
Depreciation & Amortization14.01M
Stock-Based Compensation4.65M
Change in Working Capital-4.89M
Others14.96M
Capital Expenditures-5.39M
Free Cash Flow101.01M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

125.6%

Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.

CapEx Intensity

5.1%

Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.

FCF Growth Trend

+77.5%

Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.

Working Capital Impact

-$4.89M

Minimal working capital impact on FCF. Changes in operating assets and liabilities well-managed.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Exceptional cash generation: High-quality earnings converting to growing free cash flow. The company demonstrates strong pricing power, efficient operations, and disciplined capital allocation.

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ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile

CNOB ยท NASDAQ
Cash & Cash Equivalents39.47M
Net Receivables11.65B
Inventory0.00
Other Current Assets0.00
Total Current Assets13 B
Property, Plant & Equipment82.72M
Goodwill & Intangible Assets277.31M
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets0.00
Total Non-Current Assets83 M
Total Assets
14.21B

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

421.49x

Excellent liquidity position. The company can easily cover its short-term obligations with substantial cushion.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

7.93x

High financial leverage. Heavy reliance on debt may indicate increased financial risk and potential solvency concerns.

Working Capital

13 B

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

91% Current

Asset-light business model with high liquidity. Majority of assets are easily convertible to cash.

Financial Health Insight

Mixed signals: Strong short-term liquidity provides comfort, but high overall leverage requires careful monitoring of debt servicing capabilities and refinancing risk.

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ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. Street Expectations Map

CNOB ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that CNOB stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 34.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 34.00 to a high of 34.00.

Lowest Target
34.00
11.99%
Consensus Target
34.00
11.99%
Highest Target
34.00
11.99%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 34.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 34.00 to a high of 34.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+12.0%

Moderate upside. Analysts expect positive returns but with limited margin of safety. Consider entry timing.

Analyst Agreement

0.0% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Analyst Conviction

High

Positive outlook with reasonable agreement. Analysts generally optimistic about prospects with manageable uncertainty.

Market Sentiment Insight

Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.

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ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. Insider Positioning

CNOB ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $138K and sold $43K worth of CNOB shares, resulting in $95K of net buying activity.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

9-12 Months

Bought

6.2K

137.86K

Sold

1.7K

43.28K

Net Activity

+95K

+$95K

Top Buyers

1
BST

Boswell Stephen T.

Director

6.2K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$138K

Top Sellers

1
JJT

Javitz Joseph T.

Officer: Evp & Chief Credit Officer

1.7K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$43K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bullish

Strong bullish signal with $95K net buying. Insiders are aggressively accumulating shares, suggesting significant confidence in future prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

3.19:1

Exceptional buy/sell ratio. Buying dramatically outweighs sellingโ€”one of the strongest possible insider signals.

Insider Participation

Balanced

1 insider buyers and 1 sellers. Equal participation suggests mixed or neutral insider views.

0.67%
Dividend Yield
-16%
3Y-39.0%
5Y+88.0%
10Y+43.0%
ย 

cnob Dividend History

CNOB
10Y CAGR +10%
Latest $0.195
Annual $0.915
5 year growth trend
Last Period: +8%