Chord Energy Corporation
$140.62
-0.60%Chord Energy Corporation operates as an independent exploration and production company. It acquires, exploits, develops, and explores for crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids in the Williston Basin. The company was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
At a Glance
Live SnapshotIntrinsic Alpha Methodology
Thesis Lenses
Signal
High confidenceValuation multiple is elevated (P/E 190.0).
Valuation inputs: P/E 190.0, earnings yield +0.5%, momentum -0.6%.
If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.
Driver
High confidenceReturn profile is soft (ROE +0.5%, ROIC +0.3%).
Profitability stack: net margin +0.9%, ROE +0.5%, ROIC +0.3%.
Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.
Risk
High confidenceRisk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.
Risk factors: liabilities/assets +39.6%, momentum -0.6%, net margin +0.9%.
Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.
Chord Energy Corporation Market vs Earnings Trajectory
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Chord Energy Corporation Fair Value Envelope
Chord Energy Corporation Profit Bridge
Profitability Analysis
Gross Margin
Thin margins leave little room for error. Cost management and pricing strategy are critical.
Operating Margin
Minimal operating profit suggests high operating costs or pricing challenges. Scalability is concerning.
Net Profit Margin
Minimal profitability after all expenses. Limited financial flexibility for reinvestment or shareholder returns.
Effective Tax Rate
Higher tax burden may reflect limited tax optimization or operations in high-tax jurisdictions.
Profitability Insight
Efficient profit conversion: Minimal margin compression from gross to net indicates lean operations and favorable tax/interest environment.
Chord Energy Corporation Cash Conversion Engine
Cash Flow Quality Analysis
FCF Conversion Rate
Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.
CapEx Intensity
Very high capital intensity consumes most operating cash flow. Limited flexibility for dividends or debt reduction.
FCF Growth Trend
Significant FCF decline raises concerns. Urgent review needed of operational performance and capital allocation.
Working Capital Impact
Minimal working capital impact on FCF. Changes in operating assets and liabilities well-managed.
Cash Flow Quality Insight
Capital-intensive growth: Heavy reinvestment limits current cash available but may drive future returns. Assess whether CapEx supports compelling growth opportunities with adequate ROI.
Chord Energy Corporation Funding & Solvency Profile
Financial Health Analysis
Current Ratio
Acceptable liquidity, but monitor closely. Current assets just barely cover current liabilities.
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
Balanced capital structure with moderate leverage. Equity exceeds debt, suggesting healthy financial stability.
Working Capital
Positive working capital, but relatively tight. The company should monitor cash flow carefully.
Asset Composition
Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.
Chord Energy Corporation Street Expectations Map
Wall Street analysts project that CHRD stock may experience modest gains over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 145.90, with estimates ranging from a low of 99.00 to a high of 189.00.
The consensus 1-year price target stands at 145.90, with estimates ranging from a low of 99.00 to a high of 189.00.
Analyst Consensus Analysis
Upside Potential
Fair value territory. Stock trading near consensus target suggests limited near-term catalysts. Focus on fundamental developments.
Analyst Agreement
High uncertainty. Very wide target spread indicates significant disagreement among analysts—major valuation uncertainty or transformation underway.
Risk-Reward Profile
Balanced risk-reward. Upside and downside potential relatively symmetric. Suitable for moderate risk tolerance with conviction in thesis.
Analyst Conviction
High uncertainty: Wide dispersion indicates analysts struggle to agree on valuation—proceed with caution and independent analysis.
Market Sentiment Insight
Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.
Chord Energy Corporation Insider Positioning
During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $107K and sold $4.56M worth of CHRD shares, resulting in $4.45M of net selling activity.
3 Months
0
0.00
25.9K
3.36M
-3.4M
-$3.36M
3-6 Months
0
0.00
6.8K
774.26K
-774K
-$774K
6-9 Months
1.3K
106.88K
0
0.00
+107K
+$107K
9-12 Months
0
0.00
4.0K
419.93K
-420K
-$420K
Top Buyers
Holroyd Samantha
Director
$107K
Top Sellers
Lou Michael H
Officer: Evp, Cso, And Cco
$1.82M
Brooks Douglas E
Director
$1.36M
Kinney Shannon Browning
Officer: Evp, Cao, Gc & Corp Secretary
$626K
Kroll Lara J
Officer: Svp & Chief Accounting Officer
$568K
Henke Darrin J.
Officer: Evp And Coo
$186K
Insider Activity Analysis
Net Insider Sentiment
Strong bearish signal with $4.45M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.
Buy/Sell Ratio
Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.
Recent Trend (3 Months)
Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchases—may warrant investigation into company developments.
Insider Participation
5 insider sellers vs. 1 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.
Insider Activity Insight
Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.
chrd Dividend History
Learning Layer
Related Guides
Build conviction on CHRD by pairing this stock hub with focused valuation guides.
Research Paths
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.