Churchill Downs Incorporated

Churchill Downs Incorporated

CHDNยทNASDAQ

$86.00

+1.1%
Consumer CyclicalGambling, Resorts & Casinos

Churchill Downs Incorporated operates as a racing, online wagering, and gaming entertainment company in the United States. It operates through three segments: Live and Historical Racing, TwinSpires, and Gaming. As of December 31, 2021, the company owned and operated three pari-mutuel gaming entertainment venues with approximately 3,050 historical racing machines (HRMs) in Kentucky; TwinSpires, an online wagering platform for horse racing, sports, and iGaming; nine retail sportsbooks; and casino gaming in eight states with approximately 11,000 slot machines and video lottery terminals, and 200 table games. It also offers streaming video of live horse races, replays, and an assortment of racing and handicapping information; and provides the Bloodstock Research Information Services platform for horse racing statistical data. In addition, the company manufactures and operates pari-mutuel wagering systems for racetracks, off-track betting facilities, and other pari-mutuel wagering businesses. Churchill Downs Incorporated was founded in 1875 and is headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$5.99B
EPS5.3600
P/E Ratio16.04
Earnings Date07/22/2026
chdn

Churchill Downs Incorporated Street Expectations Map

CHDN ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that CHDN stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 144.84, with estimates ranging from a low of 60.75 to a high of 167.00.

Lowest Target
60.75
-29.36%
Consensus Target
144.84
68.42%
Highest Target
167.00
94.19%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 144.84, with estimates ranging from a low of 60.75 to a high of 167.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+68.4%

Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.

Analyst Agreement

73.4% spread

High uncertainty. Very wide target spread indicates significant disagreement among analystsโ€”major valuation uncertainty or transformation underway.

Risk-Reward Profile

3.21x

Favorable risk-reward. Potential upside significantly exceeds downside risk, offering asymmetric return profile attractive for risk-tolerant investors.

Analyst Conviction

Low

High uncertainty: Wide dispersion indicates analysts struggle to agree on valuationโ€”proceed with caution and independent analysis.

Market Sentiment Insight

High risk, high reward: Substantial upside potential exists, but wide analyst disagreement signals execution risk or unclear catalysts. Thorough due diligence essential before committing capital.

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Churchill Downs Incorporated Forward Estimates of Revenue

CHDN ยท NASDAQ
Latest Revenue
2.93B
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
3.02B
FY 2026
Estimate Range
3.01B - 3.03B
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+3.1%

Flat growth suggests market maturity or near-term challenges offsetting expansion efforts.

Analyst Coverage8 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread1%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

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Churchill Downs Incorporated Forward Estimates of Net Income

CHDN ยท NASDAQ
Latest Net Income
379.70M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
490.97M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
458.61M - 527.11M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+29.3%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage8 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread14%

Reasonable estimate spread indicates general agreement with normal forecast variance.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

Key Insight

Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.

chdn

Churchill Downs Incorporated Forward Estimates of EPS

CHDN ยท NASDAQ
Latest EPS
5.36
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
$6.69
FY 2026
Estimate Range
$6.15 - $7.07
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+24.8%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage5 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread14%

Reasonable estimate spread indicates general agreement with normal forecast variance.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

Key Insight

Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.

chdn

Churchill Downs Incorporated Forward Estimates of EBIT

CHDN ยท NASDAQ
Latest EBIT
830.10M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
858.39M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
855.55M - 861.23M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+3.4%

Flat growth suggests market maturity or near-term challenges offsetting expansion efforts.

Analyst Coverage8 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread1%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

chdn

Churchill Downs Incorporated Forward Estimates of EBITDA

CHDN ยท NASDAQ
Latest EBITDA
1.07B
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
1.08B
FY 2026
Estimate Range
1.08B - 1.09B
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+1.3%

Flat growth suggests market maturity or near-term challenges offsetting expansion efforts.

Analyst Coverage8 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread1%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

chdn

Churchill Downs Incorporated Forward Estimates of SG&A Expense

CHDN ยท NASDAQ
Latest SG&A Expense
246.20M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
274.89M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
273.98M - 275.80M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+11.7%

Solid growth trajectory indicates healthy business performance and competitive positioning.

Analyst Coverage8 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread1%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

chdn

Churchill Downs Incorporated Insider Positioning

CHDN ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, there has been no insider trading activity reported for CHDN.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

No selling activity

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Neutral

No insider trading activity reported. This could indicate blackout periods, lack of conviction, or regulatory restrictions.

Insider Participation

No Activity

No insider trading activity reported from any insiders in the past year.