Certara, Inc.

Certara, Inc.

CERTยทNASDAQ

$5.61

-0.18%
HealthcareMedical - Healthcare Information Services

Certara, Inc. provides software products and technology-enabled services to customers for biosimulation in drug discovery, preclinical and clinical research, regulatory submissions, and market access. It offers medicines to patients using biosimulation software, technology, and services to transform drug discovery and development. The company also provides related technology-enabled services to guide its customers' new drugs through the regulatory submission process and into the market. Its technology-enabled services include mechanistic biosimulation, empirical biosimulation, drug development and regulatory strategy, clinical pharmacology, model-based meta-analysis, regulatory writing and medical communications, regulatory operations, and market access. Further, company offers software, comprising mechanistic biosimulation platform, empirical PK/PD biosimulation platform, data standardization and compliance software, scientific informatics platform, clinical outcomes databases for biosimulation, authoring and management of regulatory submissions platform, and market access communication platform. The company serves biopharmaceutical companies, and academic and government institutions. It has operations in the United States, Canada, Spain, Luxembourg, Portugal, the United Kingdom, Germany, France, the Netherlands, Denmark, Switzerland, Italy, Poland, Japan, the Philippines, India, Australia, and China. Certara Inc. was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Princeton, New Jersey.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$872.72M
EPS-0.0100
P/E Ratio-561.00
Earnings Date08/05/2026
cert

Certara, Inc. Street Expectations Map

CERT ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that CERT stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 9.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 8.00 to a high of 10.00.

Lowest Target
8.00
42.60%
Consensus Target
9.00
60.43%
Highest Target
10.00
78.25%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 9.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 8.00 to a high of 10.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+60.4%

Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.

Analyst Agreement

22.2% spread

Good consensus alignment. Moderate target spread reflects general agreement on value drivers with some variance in assumptions.

Analyst Conviction

Very High

Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.

Market Sentiment Insight

Rare opportunity: Exceptional upside potential with strong analyst consensus creates a compelling setup. The combination of significant price target premium and tight agreement suggests high-conviction undervaluation that may attract institutional capital.

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Certara, Inc. Forward Estimates of Revenue

CERT ยท NASDAQ
Latest Revenue
418.84M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
398.41M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
394.30M - 400.58M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-4.9%

Declining expectations indicate headwindsโ€”investigate whether temporary or structural issues.

Analyst Coverage9 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread2%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

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Certara, Inc. Forward Estimates of Net Income

CERT ยท NASDAQ
Latest Net Income
-1.59M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
62.20M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
59.77M - 64.62M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+3999.5%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage9 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread8%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

Key Insight

Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.

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Certara, Inc. Forward Estimates of EPS

CERT ยท NASDAQ
Latest EPS
-0.01
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
$0.38
FY 2026
Estimate Range
$0.37 - $0.40
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+3927.4%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage6 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread8%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

Key Insight

Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.

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Certara, Inc. Forward Estimates of EBIT

CERT ยท NASDAQ
Latest EBIT
27.35M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
11.27M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
11.16M - 11.34M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-58.8%

Significant contraction projectedโ€”major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage9 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread2%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

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Certara, Inc. Forward Estimates of EBITDA

CERT ยท NASDAQ
Latest EBITDA
83.91M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
73.74M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
72.98M - 74.14M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-12.1%

Significant contraction projectedโ€”major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage9 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread2%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

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Certara, Inc. Forward Estimates of SG&A Expense

CERT ยท NASDAQ
Latest SG&A Expense
139.10M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
131.45M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
130.09M - 132.16M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-5.5%

Declining expectations indicate headwindsโ€”investigate whether temporary or structural issues.

Analyst Coverage9 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread2%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

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Certara, Inc. Insider Positioning

CERT ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $200K and sold $559K worth of CERT shares, resulting in $359K of net selling activity.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

6-9 Months

Bought

24.1K

200.00K

Sold

51.2K

559.37K

Net Activity

-359K

-$359K

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

Top Buyers

1
FWF

Feehery William F

Director, Officer: Chief Executive Officer

24.1K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$200K

Top Sellers

1
PLE

Pedersen Leif E

Officer: President, Chief Commercal Off

51.2K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$559K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Negative insider sentiment with $359K net selling. Selling notably exceeds buying, warranting closer scrutiny of company fundamentals.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.36:1

Weak buy/sell ratio. Selling significantly exceeds buyingโ€”monitor for potential fundamental concerns.

Insider Participation

Balanced

1 insider buyers and 1 sellers. Equal participation suggests mixed or neutral insider views.