Candel Therapeutics, Inc.
$8.42
+4.5%Candel Therapeutics, Inc., a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company, engages in the development immunotherapies for the cancer patients. The company develops CAN-2409, which is in Phase II clinical trails for the treatment of pancreatic cancer; Phase III clinical trials for the treatment of prostate cancer; and Phase II clinical trials for the treatment of lung cancer, as well as has completed Phase Ib/II clinical trials for the treatment of high-grade glioma. It also develops CAN-3110, which is in Phase I clinical trials for the treatment of recurrent glioblastoma. The company was formerly known as Advantagene, Inc. and changed its name to Candel Therapeutics, Inc. in November 2020. The company was incorporated in 2003 and is based in Needham, Massachusetts.
At a Glance
Live SnapshotIntrinsic Alpha Methodology
Thesis Lenses
Signal
Medium confidenceValuation multiple is compressed (P/E -7.8).
Valuation inputs: P/E -7.8, earnings yield N/A, momentum +4.5%.
If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.
Driver
High confidenceReturn profile is soft (ROE -73.5%, ROIC -41.4%).
Profitability stack: net margin 0.0%, ROE -73.5%, ROIC -41.4%.
Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.
Risk
High confidenceRisk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.
Risk factors: liabilities/assets +58.5%, momentum +4.5%, net margin 0.0%.
Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.
Candel Therapeutics, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory
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Candel Therapeutics, Inc. Fair Value Envelope
Candel Therapeutics, Inc. Profit Bridge
Profitability Analysis
Candel Therapeutics, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine
Cash Flow Quality Analysis
FCF Conversion Rate
Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.
CapEx Intensity
Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.
FCF Growth Trend
Significant FCF decline raises concerns. Urgent review needed of operational performance and capital allocation.
Working Capital Impact
Working capital inflow boosted cash flow. Efficient management of receivables, inventory, and payables contributing positively.
Candel Therapeutics, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile
Financial Health Analysis
Current Ratio
Excellent liquidity position. The company can easily cover its short-term obligations with substantial cushion.
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
Conservative capital structure. The company relies primarily on equity financing, indicating low financial risk.
Working Capital
Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.
Asset Composition
Asset-light business model with high liquidity. Majority of assets are easily convertible to cash.
Financial Health Insight
Strong financial foundation: Excellent liquidity combined with conservative leverage suggests the company is well-positioned to weather economic uncertainties and fund growth opportunities.
Candel Therapeutics, Inc. Street Expectations Map
Wall Street analysts project that CADL stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 15.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 15.00 to a high of 15.00.
The consensus 1-year price target stands at 15.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 15.00 to a high of 15.00.
Analyst Consensus Analysis
Upside Potential
Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.
Analyst Agreement
High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.
Analyst Conviction
Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.
Market Sentiment Insight
Rare opportunity: Exceptional upside potential with strong analyst consensus creates a compelling setup. The combination of significant price target premium and tight agreement suggests high-conviction undervaluation that may attract institutional capital.
Candel Therapeutics, Inc. Insider Positioning
During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $9.93M and sold $2K worth of CADL shares, resulting in $9.92M of net buying activity.
3 Months
0
0.00
0
0.00
+0
+$0
3-6 Months
550.5K
3.00M
0
0.00
+3.0M
+$3.00M
6-9 Months
0
0.00
0
0.00
+0
+$0
9-12 Months
1.5M
6.93M
1.7K
2.21K
+6.9M
+$6.92M
Top Buyers
Manning Paul B
Director
$8.07M
Martell Christopher
Director
$590K
Papa Joseph C
Director
$370K
Schoch Charles
Officer: Chief Financial Officer
$262K
Tak Paul Peter
Director, Officer: Chief Executive Officer
$200K
Top Sellers
Nichols William Garrett
Officer: Chief Medical Officer
$2K
Insider Activity Analysis
Net Insider Sentiment
Strong bullish signal with $9.92M net buying. Insiders are aggressively accumulating shares, suggesting significant confidence in future prospects.
Buy/Sell Ratio
Exceptional buy/sell ratio. Buying dramatically outweighs sellingโone of the strongest possible insider signals.
Insider Participation
5 insider buyers vs. 1 sellers. Broad-based buying across management team suggests widespread confidence.
Insider Activity Insight
Compelling insider conviction: The combination of strong buy/sell ratio and multiple buyers suggests insiders see attractive risk/reward. Consider this alongside fundamental analysis for confirmation.
No Dividend Yield Data
CADL has not reported any dividend yield values in the available annual periods.
cadl Dividend History
Learning Layer
Related Guides
Build conviction on CADL by pairing this stock hub with focused valuation guides.
Research Paths
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.