BD

Bitcoin Depot Inc.

BTM·NASDAQ

$6.26

+0.0000%
Financial ServicesFinancial - Capital Markets

Bitcoin Depot Inc. owns and operates a network of cryptocurrency kiosks in North America. It provides users to buy and sell bitcoin, litecoin, and ethereum cryptocurrencies; and engages in the sale of cryptocurrency to consumers at a network of retail locations through its BDCheckout product offering and through its website over the counter trade. The company was founded in 2016 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia. Bitcoin Depot Inc. is a subsidiary of BT Assets, Inc.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$168.42M
EPS-0.5600
P/E Ratio-11.19
Earnings Date03/23/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal · Driver · Risk

Signal

Medium confidence

Valuation multiple is compressed (P/E -11.2).

Valuation inputs: P/E -11.2, earnings yield N/A, momentum 0.0%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is strong (ROE +49.5%, ROIC +38.2%).

Profitability stack: net margin -2.0%, ROE +49.5%, ROIC +38.2%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Downside profile is elevated and scenario stress-testing is essential.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +120.6%, momentum 0.0%, net margin -2.0%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

b

Bitcoin Depot Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

BTM · NASDAQ

Loading price and EPS data...

BD

Bitcoin Depot Inc. Fair Value Envelope

BTM · NASDAQ

Our analysis suggests that BTM has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $6.2636, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Bitcoin Depot Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $6.2636
3Y-217.0%
5Y-148.0%
10Y-148.0%
3Y+5.0%
5Y+134.0%
10Y+134.0%
3Y-297.0%
5Y-181.0%
10Y-181.0%
3Y-3.0%
5Y+23.0%
10Y+23.0%
3Y-23.0%
5Y-30.0%
10Y-30.0%
3Y-26.0%
5Y+51.0%
10Y+51.0%
BD

Bitcoin Depot Inc. Profit Bridge

BTM · NASDAQ
Revenue573.70M
Cost of Goods Sold (482.26M)
Gross Profit91.44M
Operating Expenses (67.23M)
Operating Income24.21M
Interest Expense (14.20M)
Other Income/Expense-14.26M
Pretax Income9.95M
Income Tax (2.14M)
Net Income-11.69M
Net Income
-11.69M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

15.9%

Thin margins leave little room for error. Cost management and pricing strategy are critical.

Operating Margin

4.2%

Minimal operating profit suggests high operating costs or pricing challenges. Scalability is concerning.

Net Profit Margin

-2.0%

Net losses indicate the company is burning cash. Sustainability depends on path to profitability.

Effective Tax Rate

21.5%

Moderate tax rate typical for most corporations. Represents standard tax burden on profits.

Profitability Insight

Non-operating losses: Core business is profitable but other expenses (interest, taxes, one-time items) are driving net losses. Review capital structure and non-operating items.

15.94%
Gross Profit Margin
9%
3Y+56.0%
5Y+26.0%
10Y+26.0%
4.22%
Operating Profit Margin
-5%
3Y+67.0%
5Y-30.0%
10Y-30.0%
-2.04%
Net Profit Margin
-46%
3Y-288.0%
5Y-135.0%
10Y-135.0%
49.45%
Return on Equity
-70%
3Y+46.0%
5Y-34.0%
10Y-34.0%
-14.59%
Return on Assets
-57%
3Y-366.0%
5Y-154.0%
10Y-154.0%
38.17%
Return on Invested Capital
-45%
3Y+144.0%
5Y+26.0%
10Y+26.0%
B

Bitcoin Depot Inc. Cash Conversion Engine

BTM · NASDAQ
Net Income7.81M
Depreciation & Amortization10.07M
Stock-Based Compensation3.40M
Change in Working Capital-762.00K
Others5.02M
Capital Expenditures-10.75M
Free Cash Flow11.79M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

150.9%

Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.

CapEx Intensity

47.7%

Capital-intensive operations require significant reinvestment. Monitor whether CapEx is maintenance or growth-oriented.

FCF Growth Trend

-71.3%

Significant FCF decline raises concerns. Urgent review needed of operational performance and capital allocation.

Working Capital Impact

-$762.00K

Minimal working capital impact on FCF. Changes in operating assets and liabilities well-managed.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Solid cash generation: Positive free cash flow with reasonable earnings quality provides financial flexibility for growth investments, debt reduction, or shareholder returns.

b

Bitcoin Depot Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile

BTM · NASDAQ
Cash & Cash Equivalents0.00
Net Receivables0.00
Inventory0.00
Other Current Assets0.00
Total Current Assets0
Property, Plant & Equipment0.00
Goodwill & Intangible Assets0.00
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets0.00
Total Non-Current Assets0
Total Assets
0.00

Financial Health Analysis

Working Capital

-42136000

Negative working capital indicates short-term liabilities exceed short-term assets—potential liquidity stress.

Asset Composition

0% Current

b

Bitcoin Depot Inc. Street Expectations Map

BTM · NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that BTM stock may decline over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 4.17, with estimates ranging from a low of 3.50 to a high of 5.00.

Lowest Target
3.50
-44.12%
Consensus Target
4.17
-33.42%
Highest Target
5.00
-20.17%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 4.17, with estimates ranging from a low of 3.50 to a high of 5.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

-33.4%

Significant downside risk. Stock trading well above analyst consensus suggests elevated valuation concerns and potential correction.

Analyst Agreement

36.0% spread

Good consensus alignment. Moderate target spread reflects general agreement on value drivers with some variance in assumptions.

Risk-Reward Profile

0.46x

Unfavorable risk-reward. Downside risk exceeds upside potential. Consider defensive positioning or alternative opportunities.

Analyst Conviction

Low

Bearish or uncertain outlook. Limited upside or poor consensus suggests challenges ahead or fundamental concerns.

Market Sentiment Insight

Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.

b

Bitcoin Depot Inc. Insider Positioning

BTM · NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $11.15M worth of BTM shares, with no buying activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

2.9M

10.78M

Net Activity

-10.8M

-$10.78M

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

103.9K

378.36K

Net Activity

-378K

-$378K

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

1
MBT

Mintz Brandon Taylor

Director, Officer: Chief Executive Officer

2.9M shares12 transactions

$10.99M

2
BCS

Buchanan Christopher Scott

Director, Officer: Coo And President

43.0K shares4 transactions

$163K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $11.15M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Insider Participation

High Selling

2 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

4.44%
Dividend Yield
-37%
3Y+723.0%
5Y-
10Y-
 

btm Dividend History

BTM
10Y CAGR +36%
Latest $4.2
Annual $4.73
5 year growth trend
Last Period: +692%