AUR - NASDAQ
Aurora Innovation, Inc.
$6.95
-10%Aurora Innovation, Inc. operates as a self-driving technology company in the United States. It focuses on developing Aurora Driver, a platform that brings a suite of self-driving hardware, software, and data services together to adapt and interoperate passenger vehicles, light commercial vehicles, and trucks. The company was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
At a Glance
Live SnapshotAurora Innovation, Inc. Street Expectations Map
Wall Street analysts project that AUR stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 10.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 5.00 to a high of 14.00.
The consensus 1-year price target stands at 10.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 5.00 to a high of 14.00.
Analyst Consensus Analysis
Upside Potential
Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.
Analyst Agreement
High uncertainty. Very wide target spread indicates significant disagreement among analysts—major valuation uncertainty or transformation underway.
Risk-Reward Profile
Favorable risk-reward. Potential upside significantly exceeds downside risk, offering asymmetric return profile attractive for risk-tolerant investors.
Analyst Conviction
High uncertainty: Wide dispersion indicates analysts struggle to agree on valuation—proceed with caution and independent analysis.
Market Sentiment Insight
High risk, high reward: Substantial upside potential exists, but wide analyst disagreement signals execution risk or unclear catalysts. Thorough due diligence essential before committing capital.
Aurora Innovation, Inc. Forward Estimates of Revenue
Forward Growth Analysis
Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.
Moderate coverage—sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.
Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.
Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.
Key Insight
Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.
Aurora Innovation, Inc. Forward Estimates of Net Income
Forward Growth Analysis
Significant contraction projected—major business challenges or industry disruption likely.
Moderate coverage—sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.
Wide estimate range reveals significant forecast uncertainty and potential volatility.
Analyst skepticism evident—carefully evaluate risks before investment decisions.
Key Insight
Declining estimates with wide disagreement: Analysts projecting contraction without consensus signals significant business uncertainty—exercise caution.
Aurora Innovation, Inc. Forward Estimates of EPS
Forward Growth Analysis
Significant contraction projected—major business challenges or industry disruption likely.
Moderate coverage—sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.
Wide estimate range reveals significant forecast uncertainty and potential volatility.
Analyst skepticism evident—carefully evaluate risks before investment decisions.
Key Insight
Declining estimates with wide disagreement: Analysts projecting contraction without consensus signals significant business uncertainty—exercise caution.
Aurora Innovation, Inc. Forward Estimates of EBIT
Forward Growth Analysis
Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.
Moderate coverage—sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.
Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.
Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.
Key Insight
Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.
Aurora Innovation, Inc. Forward Estimates of EBITDA
Forward Growth Analysis
Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.
Moderate coverage—sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.
Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.
Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.
Key Insight
Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.
Aurora Innovation, Inc. Forward Estimates of SG&A Expense
Forward Growth Analysis
Solid growth trajectory indicates healthy business performance and competitive positioning.
Moderate coverage—sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.
Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.
Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.
Aurora Innovation, Inc. Insider Positioning
During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $1.99M and sold $41.97M worth of AUR shares, resulting in $39.98M of net selling activity.
3 Months
0
0.00
5.3M
41.43M
-41.4M
-$41.43M
3-6 Months
0
0.00
0
0.00
+0
+$0
6-9 Months
258.0K
1.00M
50.0K
269.68K
+731K
+$731K
9-12 Months
162.3K
989.46K
46.1K
272.67K
+717K
+$717K
Top Buyers
Urmson Christopher
Director, Officer: Chief Executive Officer
$1.00M
Donahoe John J
Director
$989K
Top Sellers
Hoffman Reid
Director
$41.43M
Boyland Gloria R.
Director
$273K
Bagley Brittany
Director
$270K
Insider Activity Analysis
Net Insider Sentiment
Strong bearish signal with $39.98M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.
Buy/Sell Ratio
Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.
Recent Trend (3 Months)
Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchases—may warrant investigation into company developments.
Insider Participation
3 insider sellers vs. 2 buyers. More insiders selling than buying suggests cautious or negative sentiment.
Insider Activity Insight
Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.
Related Guides
Continue your AUR research with focused valuation guides.
Research Paths
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.