ASP Isotopes Inc. Common Stock

ASP Isotopes Inc. Common Stock

ASPIยทNASDAQ

$7.97

+5.6%
Basic MaterialsChemicals

ASP Isotopes Inc., a pre-commercial stage advanced materials company, focuses on the production, distribution, marketing, and sale of isotopes. It develops Molybdenum-100, a non-radioactive isotope for the medical industry; Carbon-14; and Silicon-28. The company also Uranium-235, an isotope of uranium for carbon-free energy industry. ASP Isotopes Inc. was incorporated in 2021 and is based in Boca Raton, Florida.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$662.29M
EPS-2.1100
P/E Ratio-3.78
Earnings Date08/14/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

Medium confidence

Valuation multiple is compressed (P/E -3.8).

Valuation inputs: P/E -3.8, earnings yield N/A, momentum +5.6%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE -85.8%, ROIC -11.6%).

Profitability stack: net margin -7.3%, ROE -85.8%, ROIC -11.6%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Risk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +48.7%, momentum +5.6%, net margin -7.3%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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ASP Isotopes Inc. Common Stock Market vs Earnings Trajectory

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ASP Isotopes Inc. Common Stock

ASP Isotopes Inc. Common Stock Fair Value Envelope

ASPI ยท NASDAQ

Our analysis suggests that ASPI has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $7.97, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for ASP Isotopes Inc. Common Stock.

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $7.97
3Y+1523.0%
5Y+603.0%
10Y+603.0%
3Y-
5Y+5.0%
10Y+5.0%
3Y+3441.0%
5Y+1607.0%
10Y+1607.0%
3Y+1185.0%
5Y+6440.0%
10Y+6440.0%
3Y+540.0%
5Y+1230.0%
10Y+1230.0%
3Y+4004.0%
5Y+7081.0%
10Y+7081.0%
ASP Isotopes Inc. Common Stock

ASP Isotopes Inc. Common Stock Profit Bridge

ASPI ยท NASDAQ
Revenue23.85M
Cost of Goods Sold (20.44M)
Gross Profit3.40M
Operating Expenses (60.60M)
Operating Income-57.19M
Interest Expense (575.00K)
Other Income/Expense-102.37M
Pretax Income-159.56M
Income Tax (282.00K)
Net Income-175.09M
Net Income
-175.09M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

14.3%

Thin margins leave little room for error. Cost management and pricing strategy are critical.

Operating Margin

-239.8%

Operating losses indicate the core business is unprofitable. Requires restructuring or revenue growth.

Net Profit Margin

-734.2%

Net losses indicate the company is burning cash. Sustainability depends on path to profitability.

Profitability Insight

High margin compression: Large gap between gross and net margins suggests operational inefficiencies or heavy debt burden. Focus on expense management and deleveraging.

14.28%
Gross Profit Margin
-63%
3Y-
5Y-70.0%
10Y-70.0%
-239.80%
Operating Profit Margin
-62%
3Y-
5Y+429.0%
10Y+429.0%
-734.17%
Net Profit Margin
-6%
3Y-
5Y+1520.0%
10Y+1520.0%
-85.77%
Return on Equity
27%
3Y+70.0%
5Y-
10Y-
-34.14%
Return on Assets
3Y-14.0%
5Y-
10Y-
-11.58%
Return on Invested Capital
-61%
3Y-76.0%
5Y-
10Y-
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ASP Isotopes Inc. Common Stock Cash Conversion Engine

ASPI ยท NASDAQ
Net Income-175.09M
Depreciation & Amortization1.91M
Stock-Based Compensation0.00
Change in Working Capital-3.63M
Others139.07M
Capital Expenditures-9.65M
Free Cash Flow-47.43M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

27.1%

Weak cash conversion. Significant portion of earnings not converting to cashโ€”review working capital trends and capital intensity.

CapEx Intensity

-25.6%

Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.

FCF Growth Trend

-69.0%

Significant FCF decline raises concerns. Urgent review needed of operational performance and capital allocation.

Working Capital Impact

-$3.63M

Minimal working capital impact on FCF. Changes in operating assets and liabilities well-managed.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Deteriorating cash generation: Both declining FCF and weak conversion rate signal fundamental challenges. Investigate margin pressure, rising costs, or working capital issues.

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ASP Isotopes Inc. Common Stock Funding & Solvency Profile

ASPI ยท NASDAQ
Cash & Cash Equivalents207.35M
Net Receivables6.30M
Inventory1.37M
Other Current Assets10.55M
Total Current Assets309 M
Property, Plant & Equipment94.66M
Goodwill & Intangible Assets7.07M
Long-Term Investments24.86M
Other Non-Current Assets152.27M
Total Non-Current Assets272 M
Total Assets
587.67M

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

4.39x

Excellent liquidity position. The company can easily cover its short-term obligations with substantial cushion.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

0.97x

Balanced capital structure with moderate leverage. Equity exceeds debt, suggesting healthy financial stability.

Working Capital

238 M

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

53% Current

Balanced asset mix between current and non-current assets, typical of many stable businesses.

Financial Health Insight

Strong financial foundation: Excellent liquidity combined with conservative leverage suggests the company is well-positioned to weather economic uncertainties and fund growth opportunities.

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ASP Isotopes Inc. Common Stock Street Expectations Map

ASPI ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that ASPI stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 13.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 13.00 to a high of 13.00.

Lowest Target
13.00
63.11%
Consensus Target
13.00
63.11%
Highest Target
13.00
63.11%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 13.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 13.00 to a high of 13.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+63.1%

Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.

Analyst Agreement

0.0% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Analyst Conviction

Very High

Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.

Market Sentiment Insight

Rare opportunity: Exceptional upside potential with strong analyst consensus creates a compelling setup. The combination of significant price target premium and tight agreement suggests high-conviction undervaluation that may attract institutional capital.

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ASP Isotopes Inc. Common Stock Insider Positioning

ASPI ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $1.07M and sold $6.01M worth of ASPI shares, resulting in $4.93M of net selling activity.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

308.5K

2.31M

Net Activity

-2.3M

-$2.31M

3-6 Months

Bought

162.2K

881.46K

Sold

121.9K

674.85K

Net Activity

+207K

+$207K

6-9 Months

Bought

96.0K

192.00K

Sold

439.7K

3.02M

Net Activity

-2.8M

-$2.83M

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

Top Buyers

1
MPE

Mann Paul Elliot

Officer: Executive Chairman

162.2K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$881K

2
WT

Wider Todd

Director

96.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$192K

Top Sellers

1
MPE

Mann Paul Elliot

Director, Officer: Chairman And Ceo

575.9K sharesโ€ข6 transactions

$4.07M

2
AR

Ainscow Robert

Officer: Coo

179.4K sharesโ€ข7 transactions

$1.29M

3
KH

Kiessling Heather

Officer: Chief Financial Officer

103.1K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$591K

4
MD

Moore Duncan

Director

11.6K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$61K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $4.93M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.18:1

Weak buy/sell ratio. Selling significantly exceeds buyingโ€”monitor for potential fundamental concerns.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$2.31M

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโ€”may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

Moderate Selling

4 insider sellers vs. 2 buyers. More insiders selling than buying suggests cautious or negative sentiment.

Insider Activity Insight

Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.

0.00%
Dividend Yield
3Y-
5Y-
10Y-
ย 

aspi Dividend History

ASPI
10Y CAGR +0%
Latest $0
Annual $0
Stable dividend payments
Last Period: +0%