Alliance Resource Partners, L.P.

Alliance Resource Partners, L.P.

ARLPยทNASDAQ

$25.41

-0.059%
EnergyCoal

Alliance Resource Partners, L.P., a diversified natural resource company, produces and markets coal primarily to utilities and industrial users in the United States. The company operates through four segments: Illinois Basin Coal Operations, Appalachia Coal Operations, Oil & Gas Royalties, and Coal Royalties. It produces a range of thermal and metallurgical coal with sulfur and heat contents. The company operates seven underground mining complexes in Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Maryland, Pennsylvania, and West Virginia. In addition, it leases land and operates a coal loading terminal on the Ohio River at Mt. Vernon, Indiana; and buys and resells coal, as well as owns mineral and royalty interests in approximately 1.5 million gross acres of oil and gas producing regions primarily in the Permian, Anadarko, and Williston Basins. Further, the company offers various mining technology products and services, including data network, communication and tracking systems, mining proximity detection systems, industrial collision avoidance systems, and data and analytics software. As of December 31, 2021, it had approximately 547.1 million tons of proven and probable coal mineral reserves, as well as 1.17 billion tons of measured, indicated, and inferred coal mineral resources in Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Maryland, Pennsylvania, and West Virginia. The company was founded in 1971 and is headquartered in Tulsa, Oklahoma.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$3.27B
EPS2.4200
P/E Ratio10.50
Earnings Date07/27/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is compressed (P/E 10.5).

Valuation inputs: P/E 10.5, earnings yield +9.5%, momentum -0.1%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is strong (ROE +16.9%, ROIC +13.6%).

Profitability stack: net margin +14.2%, ROE +16.9%, ROIC +13.6%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Risk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +34.8%, momentum -0.1%, net margin +14.2%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

arlp

Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

ARLP ยท NASDAQ

Loading price and EPS data...

Alliance Resource Partners, L.P.

Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. Fair Value Envelope

ARLP ยท NASDAQ

Our analysis suggests that ARLP has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $25.41, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Alliance Resource Partners, L.P..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $25.41
3Y-45.0%
5Y-340.0%
10Y-29.0%
3Y-9.0%
5Y+65.0%
10Y+14.0%
3Y-47.0%
5Y-341.0%
10Y+24.0%
3Y-19.0%
5Y+62.0%
10Y-7.0%
3Y-25.0%
5Y+38.0%
10Y-36.0%
3Y+5.0%
5Y+32.0%
10Y+30.0%
Alliance Resource Partners, L.P.

Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. Profit Bridge

ARLP ยท NASDAQ
Revenue2.19B
Cost of Goods Sold (1.73B)
Gross Profit468.42M
Operating Expenses (83.12M)
Operating Income385.30M
Interest Expense (39.73M)
Other Income/Expense-49.29M
Pretax Income336.01M
Income Tax (18.77M)
Net Income311.16M
Net Income
311.16M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

21.3%

Moderate margins typical of competitive industries. Monitor for pricing pressure or rising costs.

Operating Margin

17.6%

Healthy operating margins demonstrate effective cost control and strong business fundamentals.

Net Profit Margin

14.2%

Strong net margins indicate efficient operations and favorable tax/interest management.

Effective Tax Rate

5.6%

Below-average tax rate suggests effective tax planning, favorable jurisdictions, or tax credits.

Profitability Insight

Efficient profit conversion: Minimal margin compression from gross to net indicates lean operations and favorable tax/interest environment.

21.34%
Gross Profit Margin
3%
3Y-30.0%
5Y+112.0%
10Y-6.0%
17.56%
Operating Profit Margin
1%
3Y-36.0%
5Y+214.0%
10Y-7.0%
14.18%
Net Profit Margin
-4%
3Y-41.0%
5Y-246.0%
10Y+9.0%
16.89%
Return on Equity
-14%
3Y-53.0%
5Y-239.0%
10Y-27.0%
10.90%
Return on Assets
-12%
3Y-49.0%
5Y-283.0%
10Y-5.0%
13.61%
Return on Invested Capital
-10%
3Y-44.0%
5Y+272.0%
10Y-24.0%
ARLP

Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. Cash Conversion Engine

ARLP ยท NASDAQ
Net Income308.19M
Depreciation & Amortization299.44M
Stock-Based Compensation0.00
Change in Working Capital-8.17M
Others52.56M
Capital Expenditures-263.28M
Free Cash Flow387.86M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

125.9%

Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.

CapEx Intensity

40.4%

Capital-intensive operations require significant reinvestment. Monitor whether CapEx is maintenance or growth-oriented.

FCF Growth Trend

+3.6%

Flat FCF growth. Stable but not expandingโ€”monitor for signs of business maturity or temporary headwinds.

Working Capital Impact

-$8.17M

Minimal working capital impact on FCF. Changes in operating assets and liabilities well-managed.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Solid cash generation: Positive free cash flow with reasonable earnings quality provides financial flexibility for growth investments, debt reduction, or shareholder returns.

arlp

Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. Funding & Solvency Profile

ARLP ยท NASDAQ
Cash & Cash Equivalents28.87M
Net Receivables167.65M
Inventory143.56M
Other Current Assets10.41M
Total Current Assets409 M
Property, Plant & Equipment2.15B
Goodwill & Intangible Assets0.00
Long-Term Investments157.34M
Other Non-Current Assets141.42M
Total Non-Current Assets2 B
Total Assets
2.86B

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

1.46x

Acceptable liquidity, but monitor closely. Current assets just barely cover current liabilities.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

0.60x

Balanced capital structure with moderate leverage. Equity exceeds debt, suggesting healthy financial stability.

Working Capital

128 M

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

14% Current

Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.

arlp

Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. Street Expectations Map

ARLP ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that ARLP stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 30.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 30.00 to a high of 30.00.

Lowest Target
30.00
18.06%
Consensus Target
30.00
18.06%
Highest Target
30.00
18.06%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 30.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 30.00 to a high of 30.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+18.1%

Strong upside potential. Consensus indicates attractive return opportunity with favorable risk-reward profile.

Analyst Agreement

0.0% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Analyst Conviction

Very High

Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.

Market Sentiment Insight

Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.

arlp

Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. Insider Positioning

ARLP ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, there has been no insider trading activity reported for ARLP.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

No selling activity

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Neutral

No insider trading activity reported. This could indicate blackout periods, lack of conviction, or regulatory restrictions.

Insider Participation

No Activity

No insider trading activity reported from any insiders in the past year.

2.19%
Dividend Yield
-16%
3Y-39.0%
5Y-
10Y-52.0%
ย 

arlp Dividend History

ARLP
10Y CAGR 1%
Latest $0.6
Annual $3.1
Stable dividend payments
Last Period: +0%