Ardelyx, Inc.

Ardelyx, Inc.

ARDXยทNASDAQ

$5.40

-2.2%
HealthcareBiotechnology

Ardelyx, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, discovers, develops, and commercializes medicines to treat gastrointestinal and cardiorenal therapeutic areas in the United States and internationally. The company's lead product candidate is tenapanor, which has completed Phase III clinical trial for the treatment of patients with irritable bowel syndrome with constipation, as well as in Phase III clinical trial to control serum phosphorus in adult patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD)on dialysis, or hyperphosphatemia. It is also developing RDX013, a potassium secretagogue, for the treatment of elevated serum potassium, or hyperkalemia, a problem among certain patients with kidney and/or heart disease; and RDX020, an early-stage program in metabolic acidosis, a serious electrolyte disorder in patients with CKD. The company has agreements with Kyowa Kirin in Japan, Fosun Pharmaceutical Industrial Development Co. Ltd. in China, and Knight Therapeutics, Inc. in Canada for the development and commercialization of tenapanor in their respective territories. The company was formerly known as Nteryx, Inc. and changed its name to Ardelyx, Inc. in June 2008. Ardelyx, Inc. was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Waltham, Massachusetts.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$1.33B
EPS-0.2600
P/E Ratio-20.77
Earnings Date08/03/2026
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Ardelyx, Inc. Street Expectations Map

ARDX ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that ARDX stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 17.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 15.00 to a high of 19.00.

Lowest Target
15.00
177.78%
Consensus Target
17.00
214.81%
Highest Target
19.00
251.85%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 17.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 15.00 to a high of 19.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+214.8%

Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.

Analyst Agreement

23.5% spread

Good consensus alignment. Moderate target spread reflects general agreement on value drivers with some variance in assumptions.

Analyst Conviction

Very High

Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.

Market Sentiment Insight

Rare opportunity: Exceptional upside potential with strong analyst consensus creates a compelling setup. The combination of significant price target premium and tight agreement suggests high-conviction undervaluation that may attract institutional capital.

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Ardelyx, Inc. Forward Estimates of Revenue

ARDX ยท NASDAQ
Latest Revenue
407.32M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
545.48M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
539.68M - 550.85M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+33.9%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage8 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread2%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

Key Insight

Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.

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Ardelyx, Inc. Forward Estimates of Net Income

ARDX ยท NASDAQ
Latest Net Income
-61.60M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
-11.15M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
-39.71M - 14.89M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+81.9%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage8 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread490%

Wide estimate range reveals significant forecast uncertainty and potential volatility.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

Key Insight

High forecast uncertainty: Wide estimate range indicates analysts struggling to predict outcomesโ€”suggests elevated risk and potential volatility.

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Ardelyx, Inc. Forward Estimates of EPS

ARDX ยท NASDAQ
Latest EPS
-0.26
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
$-0.05
FY 2026
Estimate Range
$-0.16 - $0.06
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+80.2%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage7 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread440%

Wide estimate range reveals significant forecast uncertainty and potential volatility.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

Key Insight

High forecast uncertainty: Wide estimate range indicates analysts struggling to predict outcomesโ€”suggests elevated risk and potential volatility.

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Ardelyx, Inc. Forward Estimates of EBIT

ARDX ยท NASDAQ
Latest EBIT
-40.98M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
-284.96M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
-287.77M - -281.93M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-595.4%

Significant contraction projectedโ€”major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage8 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread2%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

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Ardelyx, Inc. Forward Estimates of EBITDA

ARDX ยท NASDAQ
Latest EBITDA
-37.92M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
-282.33M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
-285.12M - -279.33M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-644.6%

Significant contraction projectedโ€”major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage8 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread2%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

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Ardelyx, Inc. Forward Estimates of SG&A Expense

ARDX ยท NASDAQ
Latest SG&A Expense
337.23M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
1.23B
FY 2026
Estimate Range
1.22B - 1.25B
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+266.0%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage8 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread2%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

Key Insight

Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.

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Ardelyx, Inc. Insider Positioning

ARDX ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $1.95M and sold $2.16M worth of ARDX shares, resulting in $212K of net selling activity.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

126.0K

773.39K

Net Activity

-773K

-$773K

3-6 Months

Bought

333.3K

1.95M

Sold

94.5K

625.89K

Net Activity

+1.3M

+$1.32M

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

81.8K

452.74K

Net Activity

-453K

-$453K

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

50.0K

306.05K

Net Activity

-306K

-$306K

Top Buyers

1
MDM

Mott David M

Director

333.3K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$1.95M

Top Sellers

1
RM

Raab Michael

Director, Officer: President & Ceo

213.6K sharesโ€ข5 transactions

$1.29M

2
WLA

Williams Laura A

Officer: Chief Patient Officer

106.4K sharesโ€ข3 transactions

$691K

3
RJJ

Reilly Joseph James

Officer: See Remarks

12.1K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$68K

4
GEA

Grammer Elizabeth A

Officer: See Remarks

6.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$33K

5
FED

Foster Eric Duane

Officer: Chief Commercial Officer

5.8K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$32K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Slightly bearish with $212K net selling. Selling modestly exceeds buying, which could be routine diversification rather than concern.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.90:1

Moderately negative ratio. Selling is roughly double the buying, which may be routine or signal caution.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$773K

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโ€”may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

High Selling

5 insider sellers vs. 1 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

Insider Activity Insight

Balanced insider activity: Roughly equal buying and selling suggests normal portfolio management rather than strong directional signals. Look to other metrics for clearer investment insights.