Ares Capital Corporation

Ares Capital Corporation

ARCCยทNASDAQ

$18.68

-1.5%
Financial ServicesAsset Management

Ares Capital Corporation is a business development company specializing in acquisition, recapitalization, mezzanine debt, restructurings, rescue financing, and leveraged buyout transactions of middle market companies. It also makes growth capital and general refinancing. It prefers to make investments in companies engaged in the basic and growth manufacturing, business services, consumer products, health care products and services, and information technology service sectors. The fund will also consider investments in industries such as restaurants, retail, oil and gas, and technology sectors. It focuses on investments in Northeast, Mid-Atlantic, Southeast and Southwest regions from its New York office, the Midwest region, from the Chicago office, and the Western region from the Los Angeles office. The fund typically invests between $20 million and $200 million and a maximum of $400 million in companies with an EBITDA between $10 million and $250 million. It makes debt investments between $10 million and $100 million The fund invests through revolvers, first lien loans, warrants, unitranche structures, second lien loans, mezzanine debt, private high yield, junior capital, subordinated debt, and non-control preferred and common equity. The fund also selectively considers third-party-led senior and subordinated debt financings and opportunistically considers the purchase of stressed and discounted debt positions. The fund prefers to be an agent and/or lead the transactions in which it invests. The fund also seeks board representation in its portfolio companies.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$13.41B
EPS1.8600
P/E Ratio10.04
Earnings Date07/28/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is compressed (P/E 10.0).

Valuation inputs: P/E 10.0, earnings yield +10.0%, momentum -1.5%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE +9.1%, ROIC +6.7%).

Profitability stack: net margin +41.3%, ROE +9.1%, ROIC +6.7%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Downside profile looks controlled across current risk inputs.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +54.2%, momentum -1.5%, net margin +41.3%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

arcc

Ares Capital Corporation Market vs Earnings Trajectory

ARCC ยท NASDAQ

Loading price and EPS data...

Ares Capital Corporation

Ares Capital Corporation Fair Value Envelope

ARCC ยท NASDAQ

Our analysis suggests that ARCC has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $18.68, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Ares Capital Corporation.

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $18.68
3Y+54.0%
5Y+63.0%
10Y+23.0%
3Y+163.0%
5Y+267.0%
10Y+327.0%
3Y+116.0%
5Y+168.0%
10Y+174.0%
3Y+53.0%
5Y+56.0%
10Y+62.0%
3Y+53.0%
5Y+56.0%
10Y-
3Y+39.0%
5Y+93.0%
10Y+238.0%
Ares Capital Corporation

Ares Capital Corporation Profit Bridge

ARCC ยท NASDAQ
Revenue3.15B
Cost of Goods Sold (765.00M)
Gross Profit2.38B
Operating Expenses (189.00M)
Operating Income2.19B
Interest Expense (645.20M)
Other Income/Expense-793.00M
Pretax Income1.40B
Income Tax (99.00M)
Net Income1.30B
Net Income
1.30B

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

75.7%

Exceptional pricing power and cost management. The company retains over half of revenue after direct costs.

Operating Margin

69.7%

Outstanding operational efficiency. The company generates substantial profit from core operations.

Net Profit Margin

41.3%

Exceptional profitability. The company converts a significant portion of revenue to bottom-line earnings.

Effective Tax Rate

7.1%

Below-average tax rate suggests effective tax planning, favorable jurisdictions, or tax credits.

Profitability Insight

Exceptional profitability across all levels: Strong pricing power, efficient operations, and healthy bottom line indicate a high-quality business with sustainable competitive advantages.

75.68%
Gross Profit Margin
5%
3Y+22.0%
5Y+20.0%
10Y+85.0%
69.67%
Operating Profit Margin
3%
3Y+27.0%
5Y+19.0%
10Y-7.0%
41.30%
Net Profit Margin
-36%
3Y-18.0%
5Y-27.0%
10Y-40.0%
9.07%
Return on Equity
-20%
3Y+44.0%
5Y+35.0%
10Y-1.0%
4.16%
Return on Assets
-23%
3Y+55.0%
5Y+39.0%
10Y-19.0%
6.73%
Return on Invested Capital
23%
3Y+147.0%
5Y+120.0%
10Y+22.0%
ARCC

Ares Capital Corporation Cash Conversion Engine

ARCC ยท NASDAQ
Net Income1.42B
Depreciation & Amortization34.00M
Stock-Based Compensation0.00
Change in Working Capital-82.00M
Others-225.00M
Capital Expenditures0.00
Free Cash Flow1.14B

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

80.7%

Strong cash conversion. Most reported earnings translate into actual cash flow, suggesting solid fundamentals.

FCF Growth Trend

-10.9%

Declining FCF warrants attention. Investigate whether due to temporary factors or fundamental deterioration.

Working Capital Impact

-$82.00M

Minimal working capital impact on FCF. Changes in operating assets and liabilities well-managed.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Asset-light with strong cash conversion: Low capital requirements combined with efficient cash generation creates significant shareholder value through dividends, buybacks, or strategic investments.

arcc

Ares Capital Corporation Funding & Solvency Profile

ARCC ยท NASDAQ
Cash & Cash Equivalents505.00M
Net Receivables0.00
Inventory0.00
Other Current Assets0.00
Total Current Assets505 M
Property, Plant & Equipment0.00
Goodwill & Intangible Assets0.00
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets30.17B
Total Non-Current Assets30 B
Total Assets
30.68B

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

0.87x

Warning: Liquidity concerns. Current assets may not be sufficient to cover short-term obligations.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

1.18x

Elevated leverage. Debt exceeds equity, which amplifies both gains and risks. Monitor debt servicing ability.

Working Capital

-75000000

Negative working capital indicates short-term liabilities exceed short-term assetsโ€”potential liquidity stress.

Asset Composition

2% Current

Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.

Financial Health Insight

Negative working capital with limited cash reserves requires immediate attentionโ€”potential liquidity crisis if not addressed promptly.

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Ares Capital Corporation Street Expectations Map

ARCC ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that ARCC stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 21.88, with estimates ranging from a low of 20.00 to a high of 24.00.

Lowest Target
20.00
7.07%
Consensus Target
21.88
17.13%
Highest Target
24.00
28.48%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 21.88, with estimates ranging from a low of 20.00 to a high of 24.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+17.1%

Strong upside potential. Consensus indicates attractive return opportunity with favorable risk-reward profile.

Analyst Agreement

18.3% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Analyst Conviction

Very High

Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.

Market Sentiment Insight

Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.

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Ares Capital Corporation Insider Positioning

ARCC ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $969K worth of ARCC shares, with no selling activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

3-6 Months

Bought

36.7K

703.72K

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+704K

+$704K

6-9 Months

Bought

13.0K

265.07K

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+265K

+$265K

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

Top Buyers

1
SMK

Schnabel Michael Kort

Officer: Chief Executive Officer

25.5K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$504K

2
MJ

Markowicz Jana

Officer: Chief Operating Officer

15.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$288K

3
LSC

Lem Scott C

Officer: Cfo And Treasurer

5.2K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$100K

4
HMB

Henson Mary Beth

Director

4.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$77K

Top Sellers

No selling activity

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bullish

Strong bullish signal with $969K net buying. Insiders are aggressively accumulating shares, suggesting significant confidence in future prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

โˆž:1

Perfect buy/sell ratio. Only buying activity with zero sellingโ€”the most bullish possible insider signal.

Insider Participation

High Buying

4 insider buyers vs. 0 sellers. Broad-based buying across management team suggests widespread confidence.

Insider Activity Insight

Compelling insider conviction: The combination of strong buy/sell ratio and multiple buyers suggests insiders see attractive risk/reward. Consider this alongside fundamental analysis for confirmation.

2.67%
Dividend Yield
18%
3Y-
5Y+29.0%
10Y-
ย 

arcc Dividend History

ARCC
10Y CAGR +2%
Latest $0.48
Annual $1.92
5 year growth trend
Last Period: +0%