American Public Education, Inc.

American Public Education, Inc.

APEIยทNASDAQ

$52.28

+0.21%
Consumer DefensiveEducation & Training Services

American Public Education, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides online and campus-based postsecondary education. The company operates through three segments: American Public University System, Rasmussen University, and Hondros College of Nursing. It offers 130 degree programs and 111 certificate programs in various fields of study, including business administration, health science, technology, criminal justice, education, and liberal arts, as well as national security, military studies, intelligence, and homeland security. The company also provides nursing-and health sciences-focused postsecondary education, diploma in practical nursing, an associate degree in nursing, and an associate degree in medical laboratory technology. American Public Education, Inc. was incorporated in 1991 and is headquartered in Charles Town, West Virginia.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$959.00M
EPS1.4000
P/E Ratio21.57
Earnings Date08/05/2026
apei

American Public Education, Inc. Street Expectations Map

APEI ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that APEI stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 57.86, with estimates ranging from a low of 51.00 to a high of 64.00.

Lowest Target
51.00
-2.45%
Consensus Target
57.86
10.67%
Highest Target
64.00
22.42%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 57.86, with estimates ranging from a low of 51.00 to a high of 64.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+10.7%

Moderate upside. Analysts expect positive returns but with limited margin of safety. Consider entry timing.

Analyst Agreement

22.5% spread

Good consensus alignment. Moderate target spread reflects general agreement on value drivers with some variance in assumptions.

Risk-Reward Profile

9.16x

Favorable risk-reward. Potential upside significantly exceeds downside risk, offering asymmetric return profile attractive for risk-tolerant investors.

Analyst Conviction

High

Positive outlook with reasonable agreement. Analysts generally optimistic about prospects with manageable uncertainty.

Market Sentiment Insight

Asymmetric upside: Strong return potential with favorable risk-reward profile. The limited downside relative to upside makes this an attractive risk-adjusted opportunity for growth-oriented portfolios.

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American Public Education, Inc. Forward Estimates of Revenue

APEI ยท NASDAQ
Latest Revenue
648.86M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
685.28M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
679.75M - 700.09M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+5.6%

Moderate growth expected, typical for mature businesses with stable market positions.

Analyst Coverage6 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread3%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

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American Public Education, Inc. Forward Estimates of Net Income

APEI ยท NASDAQ
Latest Net Income
31.56M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
40.86M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
40.18M - 47.57M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+29.5%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage6 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread18%

Reasonable estimate spread indicates general agreement with normal forecast variance.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

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American Public Education, Inc. Forward Estimates of EPS

APEI ยท NASDAQ
Latest EPS
1.40
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
$2.44
FY 2026
Estimate Range
$2.21 - $2.62
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+74.6%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage4 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread17%

Reasonable estimate spread indicates general agreement with normal forecast variance.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

Key Insight

Limited coverage with volatile estimates: Few analysts covering despite significant projected changes may indicate information gaps or emerging risks.

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American Public Education, Inc. Forward Estimates of EBIT

APEI ยท NASDAQ
Latest EBIT
53.86M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
-13.10M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
-13.39M - -13.00M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-124.3%

Significant contraction projectedโ€”major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage6 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread3%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

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American Public Education, Inc. Forward Estimates of EBITDA

APEI ยท NASDAQ
Latest EBITDA
70.01M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
16.11M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
15.98M - 16.46M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-77.0%

Significant contraction projectedโ€”major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage6 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread3%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

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American Public Education, Inc. Forward Estimates of SG&A Expense

APEI ยท NASDAQ
Latest SG&A Expense
281.83M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
314.15M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
311.61M - 320.94M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+11.5%

Solid growth trajectory indicates healthy business performance and competitive positioning.

Analyst Coverage6 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread3%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

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American Public Education, Inc. Insider Positioning

APEI ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $22.70M worth of APEI shares, with no buying activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

222.2K

12.31M

Net Activity

-12.3M

-$12.31M

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

15.9K

551.04K

Net Activity

-551K

-$551K

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

350.6K

9.84M

Net Activity

-9.8M

-$9.84M

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

1
3CL

325 Capital Llc

Other: See Footnotes

540.2K sharesโ€ข7 transactions

$20.51M

2
ATJ

Axenson Tanya Joy

Officer: Svp, Chief Hr Officer

21.0K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$946K

3
FNS

Fernandes Nuno S.

Officer: President, Apus

17.6K sharesโ€ข4 transactions

$840K

4
GK

Gaffney Karmela

Officer: Svp, Chief Marketing Officer

2.7K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$151K

5
KJ

Kenigsberg James

Director

5.1K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$144K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $22.70M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$12.31M

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโ€”may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

High Selling

5 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

Insider Activity Insight

Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.