Aeluma, Inc.
$26.80
+0.90%Aeluma, Inc. develops optoelectronic devices for sensing and communications applications. It manufactures devices using compound semiconductor materials on diameter silicon wafers that are used to manufacture mass market microelectronics. The company was incorporated in 2019 and is headquartered in Goleta, California.
At a Glance
Live SnapshotIntrinsic Alpha Methodology
Thesis Lenses
Signal
Medium confidenceValuation multiple is compressed (P/E -116.5).
Valuation inputs: P/E -116.5, earnings yield N/A, momentum +0.9%.
If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.
Driver
High confidenceReturn profile is soft (ROE -16.9%, ROIC -11.4%).
Profitability stack: net margin -64.8%, ROE -16.9%, ROIC -11.4%.
Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.
Risk
High confidenceRisk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.
Risk factors: liabilities/assets +7.8%, momentum +0.9%, net margin -64.8%.
Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.
Aeluma, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory
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Aeluma, Inc. Fair Value Envelope
Aeluma, Inc. Profit Bridge
Profitability Analysis
Gross Margin
Exceptional pricing power and cost management. The company retains over half of revenue after direct costs.
Operating Margin
Operating losses indicate the core business is unprofitable. Requires restructuring or revenue growth.
Net Profit Margin
Net losses indicate the company is burning cash. Sustainability depends on path to profitability.
Profitability Insight
Margin squeeze alert: Healthy gross margins but weak operating margins suggest excessive operating expenses. Cost optimization could unlock significant value.
Aeluma, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine
Cash Flow Quality Analysis
FCF Conversion Rate
Weak cash conversion. Significant portion of earnings not converting to cash—review working capital trends and capital intensity.
CapEx Intensity
Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.
FCF Growth Trend
Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.
Working Capital Impact
Significant working capital drain. Growth may be consuming cash through inventory buildup or receivables extension—monitor closely.
Cash Flow Quality Insight
Working capital strain: Significant cash tied up in operations. Monitor receivables collection, inventory turns, and payment terms to optimize cash conversion cycle.
Aeluma, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile
Financial Health Analysis
Current Ratio
Excellent liquidity position. The company can easily cover its short-term obligations with substantial cushion.
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
Conservative capital structure. The company relies primarily on equity financing, indicating low financial risk.
Working Capital
Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.
Asset Composition
Asset-light business model with high liquidity. Majority of assets are easily convertible to cash.
Financial Health Insight
Strong financial foundation: Excellent liquidity combined with conservative leverage suggests the company is well-positioned to weather economic uncertainties and fund growth opportunities.
Aeluma, Inc. Street Expectations Map
Wall Street analysts project that ALMU stock may see slight declines over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 25.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 25.00 to a high of 25.00.
The consensus 1-year price target stands at 25.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 25.00 to a high of 25.00.
Analyst Consensus Analysis
Upside Potential
Downside risk. Current price above analyst targets indicates potential overvaluation. Exercise caution and review catalysts.
Analyst Agreement
High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.
Risk-Reward Profile
Balanced risk-reward. Upside and downside potential relatively symmetric. Suitable for moderate risk tolerance with conviction in thesis.
Analyst Conviction
Bearish or uncertain outlook. Limited upside or poor consensus suggests challenges ahead or fundamental concerns.
Market Sentiment Insight
Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.
Aeluma, Inc. Insider Positioning
During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $102K and sold $13.07M worth of ALMU shares, resulting in $12.97M of net selling activity.
3 Months
0
0.00
31.7K
511.03K
-511K
-$511K
3-6 Months
0
0.00
271.0K
4.40M
-4.4M
-$4.40M
6-9 Months
0
0.00
229.9K
4.17M
-4.2M
-$4.17M
9-12 Months
6.3K
102.36K
205.0K
3.98M
-3.9M
-$3.88M
Top Buyers
Klamkin Jonathan
Director, 10 Percent Owner, Officer: Chief Executive Officer
$102K
Top Sellers
Tompkins Mark N.
Other: Former 10% Owner
$7.65M
Klamkin Jonathan
Director, Officer: Chief Executive Officer
$3.69M
Stewart Christopher P.
Officer: Chief Financial Officer
$1.16M
Denbaars Steven
Director
$563K
Insider Activity Analysis
Net Insider Sentiment
Strong bearish signal with $12.97M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.
Buy/Sell Ratio
Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.
Recent Trend (3 Months)
Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchases—may warrant investigation into company developments.
Insider Participation
4 insider sellers vs. 1 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.
Insider Activity Insight
Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.
No Dividend Yield Data
ALMU has not reported any dividend yield values in the available annual periods.
almu Dividend History
Learning Layer
Related Guides
Build conviction on ALMU by pairing this stock hub with focused valuation guides.
Research Paths
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.