Astera Labs, Inc. Common Stock

Astera Labs, Inc. Common Stock

ALABยทNASDAQ

$363.54

+14%
TechnologySemiconductors

Astera Labs, Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells semiconductor-based connectivity solutions for cloud and AI infrastructure. Its Intelligent Connectivity Platform is comprised of a portfolio of data, network, and memory connectivity products, which are built on a unifying software-defined architecture that enables customers to deploy and operate high performance cloud and AI infrastructure at scale. The company was incorporated in 2017 and is based in Santa Clara, California.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$62.31B
EPS1.3200
P/E Ratio275.41
Earnings Date08/04/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is elevated (P/E 275.4).

Valuation inputs: P/E 275.4, earnings yield +0.4%, momentum +13.6%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is acceptable (ROE +16.1%, ROIC +12.4%).

Profitability stack: net margin +25.7%, ROE +16.1%, ROIC +12.4%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Downside profile looks controlled across current risk inputs.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +11.0%, momentum +13.6%, net margin +25.7%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

alab

Astera Labs, Inc. Common Stock Market vs Earnings Trajectory

ALAB ยท NASDAQ
Current Price
$363.54
EPS (TTM)
$1.59

Performance Analysis

EPS Growth

+164.3%

Strong earnings growth indicates robust business expansion and improving profitability.

Price-EPS Relationship

Aligned

Stock price is moving in line with earnings growthโ€”a healthy sign of fundamental-driven valuation.

Stock Price Change

+274.1%

Over the 1Y period, stock price has increased by 274.1%.

P/E Ratio (TTM)

275.4x

Very high P/E suggests premium valuation or high growth expectations.

Key Insight

Stock price (+274.1%) is outpacing earnings growth (+164.3%), suggesting the market may be pricing in future growth. Monitor if earnings can catch up to justify the valuation.

Astera Labs, Inc. Common Stock

Astera Labs, Inc. Common Stock Fair Value Envelope

ALAB ยท NASDAQ

Our analysis suggests that ALAB has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $363.54, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Astera Labs, Inc. Common Stock.

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $363.54
3Y-393.0%
5Y-393.0%
10Y-393.0%
3Y+967.0%
5Y+967.0%
10Y+967.0%
3Y-476.0%
5Y-476.0%
10Y-476.0%
3Y-989.0%
5Y-989.0%
10Y-989.0%
3Y-808.0%
5Y-808.0%
10Y-808.0%
3Y+623.0%
5Y+623.0%
10Y+623.0%
Astera Labs, Inc. Common Stock

Astera Labs, Inc. Common Stock Profit Bridge

ALAB ยท NASDAQ
Revenue852.52M
Cost of Goods Sold (207.26M)
Gross Profit645.26M
Operating Expenses (471.84M)
Operating Income173.42M
Interest Expense (0.00)
Other Income/Expense44.73M
Pretax Income218.15M
Income Tax (-981.00K)
Net Income219.13M
Net Income
219.13M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

75.7%

Exceptional pricing power and cost management. The company retains over half of revenue after direct costs.

Operating Margin

20.3%

Healthy operating margins demonstrate effective cost control and strong business fundamentals.

Net Profit Margin

25.7%

Exceptional profitability. The company converts a significant portion of revenue to bottom-line earnings.

Effective Tax Rate

-0.4%

Below-average tax rate suggests effective tax planning, favorable jurisdictions, or tax credits.

Profitability Insight

Exceptional profitability across all levels: Strong pricing power, efficient operations, and healthy bottom line indicate a high-quality business with sustainable competitive advantages.

75.69%
Gross Profit Margin
-1%
3Y+3.0%
5Y+3.0%
10Y+3.0%
20.34%
Operating Profit Margin
-169%
3Y-127.0%
5Y-127.0%
10Y-127.0%
25.70%
Net Profit Margin
-222%
3Y-135.0%
5Y-135.0%
10Y-135.0%
16.07%
Return on Equity
-286%
3Y-77.0%
5Y-77.0%
10Y-77.0%
14.31%
Return on Assets
-281%
3Y-152.0%
5Y-152.0%
10Y-152.0%
12.40%
Return on Invested Capital
-204%
3Y-136.0%
5Y-136.0%
10Y-136.0%
ALAB

Astera Labs, Inc. Common Stock Cash Conversion Engine

ALAB ยท NASDAQ
Net Income219.13M
Depreciation & Amortization6.83M
Stock-Based Compensation160.03M
Change in Working Capital-65.96M
Others-726.00K
Capital Expenditures-37.54M
Free Cash Flow281.76M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

128.6%

Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.

CapEx Intensity

11.8%

Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.

FCF Growth Trend

+175.1%

Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.

Working Capital Impact

-$65.96M

Moderate working capital outflow. Typical for growing businesses, but ensure it's supporting revenue growth, not inefficiency.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Exceptional cash generation: High-quality earnings converting to growing free cash flow. The company demonstrates strong pricing power, efficient operations, and disciplined capital allocation.

alab

Astera Labs, Inc. Common Stock Funding & Solvency Profile

ALAB ยท NASDAQ
Cash & Cash Equivalents148.28M
Net Receivables134.80M
Inventory60.16M
Other Current Assets33.51M
Total Current Assets1 B
Property, Plant & Equipment97.17M
Goodwill & Intangible Assets87.72M
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets61.38M
Total Non-Current Assets159 M
Total Assets
1.66B

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

11.30x

Excellent liquidity position. The company can easily cover its short-term obligations with substantial cushion.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

0.11x

Conservative capital structure. The company relies primarily on equity financing, indicating low financial risk.

Working Capital

1 B

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

85% Current

Asset-light business model with high liquidity. Majority of assets are easily convertible to cash.

Financial Health Insight

Strong financial foundation: Excellent liquidity combined with conservative leverage suggests the company is well-positioned to weather economic uncertainties and fund growth opportunities.

alab

Astera Labs, Inc. Common Stock Street Expectations Map

ALAB ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that ALAB stock may decline over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 235.83, with estimates ranging from a low of 153.00 to a high of 297.00.

Lowest Target
153.00
-57.91%
Consensus Target
235.83
-35.13%
Highest Target
297.00
-18.30%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 235.83, with estimates ranging from a low of 153.00 to a high of 297.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

-35.1%

Significant downside risk. Stock trading well above analyst consensus suggests elevated valuation concerns and potential correction.

Analyst Agreement

61.1% spread

High uncertainty. Very wide target spread indicates significant disagreement among analystsโ€”major valuation uncertainty or transformation underway.

Risk-Reward Profile

0.32x

Unfavorable risk-reward. Downside risk exceeds upside potential. Consider defensive positioning or alternative opportunities.

Analyst Conviction

Low

High uncertainty: Wide dispersion indicates analysts struggle to agree on valuationโ€”proceed with caution and independent analysis.

Market Sentiment Insight

Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.

alab

Astera Labs, Inc. Common Stock Insider Positioning

ALAB ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $142.27M worth of ALAB shares, with no buying activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

453.6K

96.68M

Net Activity

-96.7M

-$96.68M

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

7.1K

867.40K

Net Activity

-867K

-$867K

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

18.2K

2.62M

Net Activity

-2.6M

-$2.62M

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

287.0K

42.11M

Net Activity

-42.1M

-$42.11M

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

1
GS

Gajendra Sanjay

Director, Officer: President And Coo

334.2K sharesโ€ข9 transactions

$78.80M

2
MJ

Mohan Jitendra

Director, Officer: Chief Executive Officer

293.1K sharesโ€ข16 transactions

$44.38M

3
TMT

Tate Michael Truett

Officer: Chief Financial Officer

47.6K sharesโ€ข4 transactions

$8.29M

4
AM

Alba Manuel

Director

73.9K sharesโ€ข7 transactions

$7.99M

5
MP

Mazzara Philip

Officer: General Counsel And Secretary

7.4K sharesโ€ข6 transactions

$1.24M

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $142.27M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$96.68M

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโ€”may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

High Selling

5 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

Insider Activity Insight

Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.

No Dividend Yield Data

ALAB has not reported any dividend yield values in the available annual periods.

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alab Dividend History

ALAB
10Y CAGR +0%
Latest $0
Annual $0
Stable dividend payments
Last Period: +0%