Airship AI Holdings, Inc.

Airship AI Holdings, Inc.

AISPยทNASDAQ

$3.01

+1.0%
TechnologySoftware - Infrastructure

Airship AI Holdings, Inc. provides AI-driven video, sensor, and data management surveillance platform in the United States. The company offers Airship Acropolis OS, an IP and analog video surveillance; Airship Command, a suite of visualization tools that allows users to view data and evidence ingested from the edge; and Airship Outpost foe high-definition recording with user defined low-bit rate video stream encoding. It serves government, public sector, law enforcement, military, and commercial enterprise organizations. The company was formerly known as Super Simple AI, Inc. and changed its name to Airship AI Holdings, Inc. on March 2023. Airship AI Holdings, Inc. was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Redmond, Washington.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$103.66M
EPS0.9000
P/E Ratio3.34
Earnings Date08/04/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is compressed (P/E 3.3).

Valuation inputs: P/E 3.3, earnings yield +29.9%, momentum +1.0%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE -4.1%, ROIC -52.9%).

Profitability stack: net margin +1.9%, ROE -4.1%, ROIC -52.9%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Downside profile is elevated and scenario stress-testing is essential.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +136.7%, momentum +1.0%, net margin +1.9%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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Airship AI Holdings, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

AISP ยท NASDAQ

Loading price and EPS data...

Airship AI Holdings, Inc.

Airship AI Holdings, Inc. Fair Value Envelope

AISP ยท NASDAQ

Our analysis suggests that AISP has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $3.01, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Airship AI Holdings, Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $3.01
3Y-7300.0%
5Y+650.0%
10Y+650.0%
3Y+5.0%
5Y+18.0%
10Y+18.0%
3Y-6121.0%
5Y-672.0%
10Y-672.0%
3Y+275676.0%
5Y+155862.0%
10Y+155862.0%
3Y+275676.0%
5Y+155862.0%
10Y+155862.0%
3Y+398.0%
5Y+362.0%
10Y+362.0%
Airship AI Holdings, Inc.

Airship AI Holdings, Inc. Profit Bridge

AISP ยท NASDAQ
Revenue15.32M
Cost of Goods Sold (7.62M)
Gross Profit7.70M
Operating Expenses (14.91M)
Operating Income-7.22M
Interest Expense (0.00)
Other Income/Expense36.54M
Pretax Income29.32M
Income Tax (0.00)
Net Income29.32M
Net Income
29.32M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

50.2%

Exceptional pricing power and cost management. The company retains over half of revenue after direct costs.

Operating Margin

-47.1%

Operating losses indicate the core business is unprofitable. Requires restructuring or revenue growth.

Net Profit Margin

191.4%

Exceptional profitability. The company converts a significant portion of revenue to bottom-line earnings.

Effective Tax Rate

0.0%

Below-average tax rate suggests effective tax planning, favorable jurisdictions, or tax credits.

Profitability Insight

Margin squeeze alert: Healthy gross margins but weak operating margins suggest excessive operating expenses. Cost optimization could unlock significant value.

50.24%
Gross Profit Margin
10%
3Y-13.0%
5Y-6.0%
10Y-6.0%
-47.10%
Operating Profit Margin
210%
3Y+143.0%
5Y-
10Y-
191.38%
Net Profit Margin
-177%
3Y-5817.0%
5Y-587.0%
10Y-587.0%
-410.11%
Return on Equity
-478%
3Y-7139.0%
5Y-773.0%
10Y-773.0%
150.56%
Return on Assets
-136%
3Y-1309.0%
5Y-224.0%
10Y-224.0%
-52.94%
Return on Invested Capital
26%
3Y-122.0%
5Y-107.0%
10Y-107.0%
AISP

Airship AI Holdings, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine

AISP ยท NASDAQ
Net Income29.32B
Depreciation & Amortization378.45M
Stock-Based Compensation1.63B
Change in Working Capital-3.08M
Others-39.33B
Capital Expenditures0.00
Free Cash Flow-8.00B

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

-27.3%

Negative free cash flow despite positive earnings raises concerns about cash generation ability or heavy capital requirements.

FCF Growth Trend

-122976.0%

Significant FCF decline raises concerns. Urgent review needed of operational performance and capital allocation.

Working Capital Impact

-$3.08M

Minimal working capital impact on FCF. Changes in operating assets and liabilities well-managed.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Cash flow concerns: Despite profitability, the company is burning cash. Review working capital management, CapEx levels, and sustainability of current operations.

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Airship AI Holdings, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile

AISP ยท NASDAQ
Cash & Cash Equivalents12.57B
Net Receivables5.38B
Inventory0.00
Other Current Assets309.81M
Total Current Assets18 B
Property, Plant & Equipment705.56M
Goodwill & Intangible Assets0.00
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets160.53M
Total Non-Current Assets866 M
Total Assets
19.12B

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

2.54x

Excellent liquidity position. The company can easily cover its short-term obligations with substantial cushion.

Working Capital

11 B

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

95% Current

Asset-light business model with high liquidity. Majority of assets are easily convertible to cash.

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Airship AI Holdings, Inc. Street Expectations Map

AISP ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that AISP stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 6.50, with estimates ranging from a low of 6.50 to a high of 6.50.

Lowest Target
6.50
115.95%
Consensus Target
6.50
115.95%
Highest Target
6.50
115.95%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 6.50, with estimates ranging from a low of 6.50 to a high of 6.50.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+116.0%

Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.

Analyst Agreement

0.0% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Analyst Conviction

Very High

Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.

Market Sentiment Insight

Rare opportunity: Exceptional upside potential with strong analyst consensus creates a compelling setup. The combination of significant price target premium and tight agreement suggests high-conviction undervaluation that may attract institutional capital.

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Airship AI Holdings, Inc. Insider Positioning

AISP ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $2.53M and sold $549K worth of AISP shares, resulting in $1.98M of net buying activity.

3 Months

Bought

40.0K

89.69K

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+90K

+$90K

3-6 Months

Bought

134.0K

427.27K

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+427K

+$427K

6-9 Months

Bought

55.0K

174.10K

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+174K

+$174K

9-12 Months

Bought

459.1K

1.84M

Sold

140.8K

549.18K

Net Activity

+1.3M

+$1.29M

Top Buyers

1
HV

Huang Victor

Director, 10 Percent Owner, Officer: Ceo And Chairman Of The Bod

268.1K sharesโ€ข19 transactions

$950K

2
APM

Allen Paul M.

Officer: President

150.0K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$487K

3
LL

Lebedin Louis

Director

100.0K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$372K

4
XD

Xu Derek

Director, 10 Percent Owner, Officer: Chief Operating Officer

50.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$213K

5
SME

Scott Mark E

Officer: Chief Financial Officer

50.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$213K

Top Sellers

1
APM

Allen Paul M.

Officer: President

70.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$358K

2
SME

Scott Mark E

Officer: Chief Financial Officer

70.8K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$192K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bullish

Strong bullish signal with $1.98M net buying. Insiders are aggressively accumulating shares, suggesting significant confidence in future prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

4.61:1

Exceptional buy/sell ratio. Buying dramatically outweighs sellingโ€”one of the strongest possible insider signals.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$90K

Very strong recent buying momentum. Recent insider purchases significantly outpace sales, suggesting near-term optimism.

Insider Participation

High Buying

5 insider buyers vs. 2 sellers. Broad-based buying across management team suggests widespread confidence.

Insider Activity Insight

Strong confluence of bullish signals: High buy/sell ratio, multiple insiders participating, and recent buying momentum all point to significant insider confidence. This level of coordinated buying often precedes positive developments.

No Dividend Yield Data

AISP has not reported any dividend yield values in the available annual periods.

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aisp Dividend History

AISP
10Y CAGR +0%
Latest $0
Annual $0
Stable dividend payments
Last Period: +0%