Airship AI Holdings, Inc.
$3.01
-1.5%Airship AI Holdings, Inc. provides AI-driven video, sensor, and data management surveillance platform in the United States. The company offers Airship Acropolis OS, an IP and analog video surveillance; Airship Command, a suite of visualization tools that allows users to view data and evidence ingested from the edge; and Airship Outpost foe high-definition recording with user defined low-bit rate video stream encoding. It serves government, public sector, law enforcement, military, and commercial enterprise organizations. The company was formerly known as Super Simple AI, Inc. and changed its name to Airship AI Holdings, Inc. on March 2023. Airship AI Holdings, Inc. was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Redmond, Washington.
At a Glance
Live SnapshotIntrinsic Alpha Methodology
Thesis Lenses
Signal
High confidenceValuation multiple is compressed (P/E 3.3).
Valuation inputs: P/E 3.3, earnings yield +29.9%, momentum -1.5%.
If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.
Driver
High confidenceReturn profile is soft (ROE -4.1%, ROIC -52.9%).
Profitability stack: net margin +1.9%, ROE -4.1%, ROIC -52.9%.
Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.
Risk
High confidenceDownside profile is elevated and scenario stress-testing is essential.
Risk factors: liabilities/assets +136.7%, momentum -1.5%, net margin +1.9%.
Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.
Airship AI Holdings, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory
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Airship AI Holdings, Inc. Fair Value Envelope
Airship AI Holdings, Inc. Profit Bridge
Profitability Analysis
Gross Margin
Exceptional pricing power and cost management. The company retains over half of revenue after direct costs.
Operating Margin
Operating losses indicate the core business is unprofitable. Requires restructuring or revenue growth.
Net Profit Margin
Exceptional profitability. The company converts a significant portion of revenue to bottom-line earnings.
Effective Tax Rate
Below-average tax rate suggests effective tax planning, favorable jurisdictions, or tax credits.
Profitability Insight
Margin squeeze alert: Healthy gross margins but weak operating margins suggest excessive operating expenses. Cost optimization could unlock significant value.
Airship AI Holdings, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine
Cash Flow Quality Analysis
FCF Conversion Rate
Negative free cash flow despite positive earnings raises concerns about cash generation ability or heavy capital requirements.
FCF Growth Trend
Significant FCF decline raises concerns. Urgent review needed of operational performance and capital allocation.
Working Capital Impact
Minimal working capital impact on FCF. Changes in operating assets and liabilities well-managed.
Cash Flow Quality Insight
Cash flow concerns: Despite profitability, the company is burning cash. Review working capital management, CapEx levels, and sustainability of current operations.
Airship AI Holdings, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile
Financial Health Analysis
Current Ratio
Excellent liquidity position. The company can easily cover its short-term obligations with substantial cushion.
Working Capital
Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.
Asset Composition
Asset-light business model with high liquidity. Majority of assets are easily convertible to cash.
Airship AI Holdings, Inc. Street Expectations Map
Wall Street analysts project that AISP stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 6.50, with estimates ranging from a low of 6.50 to a high of 6.50.
The consensus 1-year price target stands at 6.50, with estimates ranging from a low of 6.50 to a high of 6.50.
Analyst Consensus Analysis
Upside Potential
Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.
Analyst Agreement
High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.
Analyst Conviction
Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.
Market Sentiment Insight
Rare opportunity: Exceptional upside potential with strong analyst consensus creates a compelling setup. The combination of significant price target premium and tight agreement suggests high-conviction undervaluation that may attract institutional capital.
Airship AI Holdings, Inc. Insider Positioning
During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $2.53M and sold $549K worth of AISP shares, resulting in $1.98M of net buying activity.
3 Months
40.0K
89.69K
0
0.00
+90K
+$90K
3-6 Months
134.0K
427.27K
0
0.00
+427K
+$427K
6-9 Months
55.0K
174.10K
0
0.00
+174K
+$174K
9-12 Months
459.1K
1.84M
140.8K
549.18K
+1.3M
+$1.29M
Top Buyers
Huang Victor
Director, 10 Percent Owner, Officer: Ceo And Chairman Of The Bod
$950K
Allen Paul M.
Officer: President
$487K
Lebedin Louis
Director
$372K
Xu Derek
Director, 10 Percent Owner, Officer: Chief Operating Officer
$213K
Scott Mark E
Officer: Chief Financial Officer
$213K
Top Sellers
Allen Paul M.
Officer: President
$358K
Scott Mark E
Officer: Chief Financial Officer
$192K
Insider Activity Analysis
Net Insider Sentiment
Strong bullish signal with $1.98M net buying. Insiders are aggressively accumulating shares, suggesting significant confidence in future prospects.
Buy/Sell Ratio
Exceptional buy/sell ratio. Buying dramatically outweighs sellingโone of the strongest possible insider signals.
Recent Trend (3 Months)
Very strong recent buying momentum. Recent insider purchases significantly outpace sales, suggesting near-term optimism.
Insider Participation
5 insider buyers vs. 2 sellers. Broad-based buying across management team suggests widespread confidence.
Insider Activity Insight
Strong confluence of bullish signals: High buy/sell ratio, multiple insiders participating, and recent buying momentum all point to significant insider confidence. This level of coordinated buying often precedes positive developments.
No Dividend Yield Data
AISP has not reported any dividend yield values in the available annual periods.
aisp Dividend History
Learning Layer
Related Guides
Build conviction on AISP by pairing this stock hub with focused valuation guides.
Research Paths
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.