AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
$9.26
-2.1%AIRO Group is a U.S.-based aerospace and defense company headquartered in Albuquerque, NM. It operates across four segments: drones, avionics, pilot training, and electric air mobility (eVTOL), with products like AI-enabled Sky Watch surveillance drones.
At a Glance
Live SnapshotIntrinsic Alpha Methodology
Thesis Lenses
Signal
Medium confidenceValuation multiple is compressed (P/E -54.5).
Valuation inputs: P/E -54.5, earnings yield N/A, momentum -2.1%.
If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.
Driver
High confidenceReturn profile is soft (ROE -0.6%, ROIC +5.4%).
Profitability stack: net margin -4.5%, ROE -0.6%, ROIC +5.4%.
Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.
Risk
High confidenceRisk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.
Risk factors: liabilities/assets +4.5%, momentum -2.1%, net margin -4.5%.
Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.
AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock Market vs Earnings Trajectory
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AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock Fair Value Envelope
AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock Profit Bridge
Profitability Analysis
Gross Margin
Exceptional pricing power and cost management. The company retains over half of revenue after direct costs.
Operating Margin
Operating losses indicate the core business is unprofitable. Requires restructuring or revenue growth.
Net Profit Margin
Net losses indicate the company is burning cash. Sustainability depends on path to profitability.
Effective Tax Rate
Higher tax burden may reflect limited tax optimization or operations in high-tax jurisdictions.
Profitability Insight
Margin squeeze alert: Healthy gross margins but weak operating margins suggest excessive operating expenses. Cost optimization could unlock significant value.
AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock Cash Conversion Engine
Cash Flow Quality Analysis
FCF Conversion Rate
Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.
CapEx Intensity
Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.
FCF Growth Trend
Significant FCF decline raises concerns. Urgent review needed of operational performance and capital allocation.
Working Capital Impact
Significant working capital drain. Growth may be consuming cash through inventory buildup or receivables extension—monitor closely.
Cash Flow Quality Insight
Working capital strain: Significant cash tied up in operations. Monitor receivables collection, inventory turns, and payment terms to optimize cash conversion cycle.
AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock Funding & Solvency Profile
Financial Health Analysis
Current Ratio
Excellent liquidity position. The company can easily cover its short-term obligations with substantial cushion.
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
Conservative capital structure. The company relies primarily on equity financing, indicating low financial risk.
Working Capital
Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.
Asset Composition
Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.
Financial Health Insight
Strong financial foundation: Excellent liquidity combined with conservative leverage suggests the company is well-positioned to weather economic uncertainties and fund growth opportunities.
AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock Street Expectations Map
Wall Street analysts project that AIRO stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 20.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 20.00 to a high of 20.00.
The consensus 1-year price target stands at 20.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 20.00 to a high of 20.00.
Analyst Consensus Analysis
Upside Potential
Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.
Analyst Agreement
High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.
Analyst Conviction
Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.
Market Sentiment Insight
Rare opportunity: Exceptional upside potential with strong analyst consensus creates a compelling setup. The combination of significant price target premium and tight agreement suggests high-conviction undervaluation that may attract institutional capital.
AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock Insider Positioning
During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $12.44M worth of AIRO shares, with no buying activity reported.
3 Months
0
0.00
24.0K
241.55K
-242K
-$242K
3-6 Months
0
0.00
183
1.72K
-2K
-$2K
6-9 Months
0
0.00
691.4K
12.02M
-12.0M
-$12.02M
9-12 Months
0
0.00
7.9K
175.15K
-175K
-$175K
Top Buyers
No buying activity
Top Sellers
New Generation Aerospace, Llc
10 Percent Owner
$7.05M
Burns Joseph D
Director, 10 Percent Owner, Officer: Chief Executive Officer
$3.13M
Kathuria Chirinjeev
Director, 10 Percent Owner, Officer: Executive Chairman
$1.80M
Uczekaj John
Director, Officer: President And Coo
$251K
Pylypiv Mariya
Officer: Chief Financial Officer
$206K
Insider Activity Analysis
Net Insider Sentiment
Strong bearish signal with $12.44M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.
Buy/Sell Ratio
Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.
Recent Trend (3 Months)
Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchases—may warrant investigation into company developments.
Insider Participation
5 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.
Insider Activity Insight
Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.
No Dividend Yield Data
AIRO has not reported any dividend yield values in the available annual periods.
airo Dividend History
Learning Layer
Related Guides
Build conviction on AIRO by pairing this stock hub with focused valuation guides.
Research Paths
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.