Adeia Inc.

Adeia Inc.

ADEAยทNASDAQ

$32.05

+0.67%
TechnologySoftware - Application

Adeia Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a consumer and entertainment product/solutions licensing company worldwide. It licenses its innovations to companies in the entertainment industry under the Adeia brand. The company licenses its patent portfolios across various markets, including multichannel video programming distributors comprising cable, satellite, and telecommunications television providers that aggregate and distribute linear content over networks, as well as television providers that aggregate and stream linear content over broadband networks; over-the-top video service providers, social media, and other new media companies, such as subscription video-on-demand service providers and social media companies; consumer electronics manufacturers, which includes smart televisions, streaming media devices, video game consoles, mobile devices, DVRs, and other connected media devices; and semiconductors, including sensors, radio frequency components, memory, and logic devices. The company was incorporated in 2019 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$3.53B
EPS1.0200
P/E Ratio31.42
Earnings Date08/04/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is elevated (P/E 31.4).

Valuation inputs: P/E 31.4, earnings yield +3.2%, momentum +0.7%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is strong (ROE +23.1%, ROIC +16.8%).

Profitability stack: net margin +25.1%, ROE +23.1%, ROIC +16.8%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Downside profile looks controlled across current risk inputs.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +53.8%, momentum +0.7%, net margin +25.1%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

adea

Adeia Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

ADEA ยท NASDAQ

Loading price and EPS data...

Adeia Inc.

Adeia Inc. Fair Value Envelope

ADEA ยท NASDAQ

Our analysis suggests that ADEA has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $32.05, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Adeia Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $32.05
3Y-136.0%
5Y-42.0%
10Y-11.0%
3Y+1.0%
5Y-50.0%
10Y+71.0%
3Y-138.0%
5Y-24.0%
10Y+98.0%
3Y-14.0%
5Y-63.0%
10Y+9.0%
3Y-12.0%
5Y-60.0%
10Y+13.0%
3Y-14.0%
5Y-62.0%
10Y-12.0%
Adeia Inc.

Adeia Inc. Profit Bridge

ADEA ยท NASDAQ
Revenue443.39M
Cost of Goods Sold (56.62M)
Gross Profit386.76M
Operating Expenses (177.70M)
Operating Income209.07M
Interest Expense (40.36M)
Other Income/Expense-68.14M
Pretax Income140.92M
Income Tax (29.85M)
Net Income111.08M
Net Income
111.08M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

87.2%

Exceptional pricing power and cost management. The company retains over half of revenue after direct costs.

Operating Margin

47.2%

Outstanding operational efficiency. The company generates substantial profit from core operations.

Net Profit Margin

25.1%

Exceptional profitability. The company converts a significant portion of revenue to bottom-line earnings.

Effective Tax Rate

21.2%

Moderate tax rate typical for most corporations. Represents standard tax burden on profits.

Profitability Insight

Exceptional profitability across all levels: Strong pricing power, efficient operations, and healthy bottom line indicate a high-quality business with sustainable competitive advantages.

87.23%
Gross Profit Margin
8%
3Y+18.0%
5Y+22.0%
10Y-13.0%
47.15%
Operating Profit Margin
25%
3Y+28.0%
5Y+112.0%
10Y+37.0%
25.05%
Net Profit Margin
46%
3Y-137.0%
5Y+52.0%
10Y+16.0%
23.11%
Return on Equity
42%
3Y-124.0%
5Y+129.0%
10Y+109.0%
10.69%
Return on Assets
82%
3Y-144.0%
5Y+97.0%
10Y+126.0%
16.81%
Return on Invested Capital
55%
3Y+20.0%
5Y+115.0%
10Y+247.0%
ADEA

Adeia Inc. Cash Conversion Engine

ADEA ยท NASDAQ
Net Income111.08M
Depreciation & Amortization58.58M
Stock-Based Compensation34.67M
Change in Working Capital-82.81M
Others2.89M
Capital Expenditures-8.76M
Free Cash Flow149.33M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

134.4%

Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.

CapEx Intensity

5.5%

Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.

FCF Growth Trend

-21.5%

Significant FCF decline raises concerns. Urgent review needed of operational performance and capital allocation.

Working Capital Impact

-$82.81M

Significant working capital drain. Growth may be consuming cash through inventory buildup or receivables extensionโ€”monitor closely.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Asset-light with strong cash conversion: Low capital requirements combined with efficient cash generation creates significant shareholder value through dividends, buybacks, or strategic investments.

adea

Adeia Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile

ADEA ยท NASDAQ
Cash & Cash Equivalents53.33M
Net Receivables200.48M
Inventory0.00
Other Current Assets-34.92M
Total Current Assets281 M
Property, Plant & Equipment13.98M
Goodwill & Intangible Assets607.16M
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets99.93M
Total Non-Current Assets114 M
Total Assets
1.00B

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

3.44x

Excellent liquidity position. The company can easily cover its short-term obligations with substantial cushion.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

1.15x

Elevated leverage. Debt exceeds equity, which amplifies both gains and risks. Monitor debt servicing ability.

Working Capital

200 M

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

28% Current

Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.

adea

Adeia Inc. Street Expectations Map

ADEA ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that ADEA stock may experience modest gains over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 34.50, with estimates ranging from a low of 20.00 to a high of 43.00.

Lowest Target
20.00
-37.60%
Consensus Target
34.50
7.64%
Highest Target
43.00
34.17%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 34.50, with estimates ranging from a low of 20.00 to a high of 43.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+7.6%

Moderate upside. Analysts expect positive returns but with limited margin of safety. Consider entry timing.

Analyst Agreement

66.7% spread

High uncertainty. Very wide target spread indicates significant disagreement among analystsโ€”major valuation uncertainty or transformation underway.

Risk-Reward Profile

0.91x

Unfavorable risk-reward. Downside risk exceeds upside potential. Consider defensive positioning or alternative opportunities.

Analyst Conviction

Low

High uncertainty: Wide dispersion indicates analysts struggle to agree on valuationโ€”proceed with caution and independent analysis.

Market Sentiment Insight

Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.

adea

Adeia Inc. Insider Positioning

ADEA ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $3.99M worth of ADEA shares, with no buying activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

99.3K

3.15M

Net Activity

-3.2M

-$3.15M

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

28.3K

472.00K

Net Activity

-472K

-$472K

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

29.5K

364.26K

Net Activity

-364K

-$364K

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

1
TK

Tanji Kevin

Officer: Chief Legal Officer

107.5K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$3.29M

2
JKA

Jones Keith A

Officer: Chief Financial Officer

29.5K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$364K

3
KM

Kokes Mark

Officer: Chief Licensing Officer, Media

14.4K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$241K

4
ED

Escobar Dana

Officer: Chief Licensing Officer, Semi

5.8K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$97K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $3.99M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$3.15M

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโ€”may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

High Selling

4 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

Insider Activity Insight

Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.

0.21%
Dividend Yield
-27%
3Y-63.0%
5Y-76.0%
10Y-91.0%
ย 

adea Dividend History

ADEA
10Y CAGR 13%
Latest $0.05
Annual $0.25
Stable dividend payments
Last Period: +0%