Absci Corporation

Absci Corporation

ABSIยทNASDAQ

$5.94

-6.5%
HealthcareBiotechnology

Absci Corporation, a drug and target discovery company, provides biologic drug candidates and production cell lines using integrated drug creation platform for partners in the United States. Its integrated drug creation platform enables the creation of biologics by unifying the drug discovery and cell line development processes into one process. Absci Corporation was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Washington.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$926.08M
EPS-0.8400
P/E Ratio-7.07
Earnings Date08/11/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

Medium confidence

Valuation multiple is compressed (P/E -7.1).

Valuation inputs: P/E -7.1, earnings yield N/A, momentum -6.5%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE -60.8%, ROIC -63.6%).

Profitability stack: net margin -41.1%, ROE -60.8%, ROIC -63.6%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Risk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +12.4%, momentum -6.5%, net margin -41.1%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

absi

Absci Corporation Market vs Earnings Trajectory

ABSI ยท NASDAQ
Current Price
$5.94
EPS (TTM)
$-0.83

Performance Analysis

EPS Growth

+11.7%

Positive earnings growth shows the company is improving its profitability over time.

Price-EPS Relationship

Aligned

Stock price is moving in line with earnings growthโ€”a healthy sign of fundamental-driven valuation.

Stock Price Change

+108.4%

Over the 1Y period, stock price has increased by 108.4%.

P/E Ratio (TTM)

-7.1x

Relatively low P/E may indicate undervaluation or lower growth expectations.

Key Insight

With growing earnings (+11.7%) and a relatively low P/E ratio (-7.1x), the stock may be undervalued if the growth trend continues.

Absci Corporation

Absci Corporation Fair Value Envelope

ABSI ยท NASDAQ

Our analysis suggests that ABSI has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $5.94, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Absci Corporation.

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $5.94
3Y-27.0%
5Y+56.0%
10Y+1040.0%
3Y-51.0%
5Y-41.0%
10Y+36.0%
3Y+10.0%
5Y+703.0%
10Y+1649.0%
3Y+14.0%
5Y+747.0%
10Y+1441.0%
3Y-4.0%
5Y+615.0%
10Y+1219.0%
3Y-33.0%
5Y+144.0%
10Y+1011.0%
Absci Corporation

Absci Corporation Profit Bridge

ABSI ยท NASDAQ
Revenue2.80M
Cost of Goods Sold (11.74M)
Gross Profit-8.94M
Operating Expenses (115.78M)
Operating Income-124.72M
Interest Expense (209.00K)
Other Income/Expense9.60M
Pretax Income-115.11M
Income Tax (69.00K)
Net Income-115.18M
Net Income
-115.18M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

-319.4%

Negative gross margin indicates the company is losing money on each saleโ€”unsustainable long-term.

Operating Margin

-4454.2%

Operating losses indicate the core business is unprofitable. Requires restructuring or revenue growth.

Net Profit Margin

-4113.7%

Net losses indicate the company is burning cash. Sustainability depends on path to profitability.

Profitability Insight

High margin compression: Large gap between gross and net margins suggests operational inefficiencies or heavy debt burden. Focus on expense management and deleveraging.

-319.36%
Gross Profit Margin
-75%
3Y-65.0%
5Y+129.0%
10Y+192.0%
-4454.21%
Operating Profit Margin
85%
3Y+140.0%
5Y+1501.0%
10Y+1365.0%
-4113.68%
Net Profit Margin
81%
3Y+125.0%
5Y+1270.0%
10Y+1187.0%
-60.80%
Return on Equity
6%
3Y+59.0%
5Y+184.0%
10Y-480.0%
-53.25%
Return on Assets
10%
3Y+63.0%
5Y+229.0%
10Y+57.0%
-63.56%
Return on Invested Capital
11%
3Y+78.0%
5Y+293.0%
10Y+76.0%
ABSI

Absci Corporation Cash Conversion Engine

ABSI ยท NASDAQ
Net Income-115.18M
Depreciation & Amortization11.74M
Stock-Based Compensation18.32M
Change in Working Capital423.00K
Others-8.23M
Capital Expenditures-1.11M
Free Cash Flow-94.03M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

81.6%

Strong cash conversion. Most reported earnings translate into actual cash flow, suggesting solid fundamentals.

CapEx Intensity

-1.2%

Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.

FCF Growth Trend

-29.2%

Significant FCF decline raises concerns. Urgent review needed of operational performance and capital allocation.

Working Capital Impact

+$423.00K

Working capital inflow boosted cash flow. Efficient management of receivables, inventory, and payables contributing positively.

absi

Absci Corporation Funding & Solvency Profile

ABSI ยท NASDAQ
Cash & Cash Equivalents8.63M
Net Receivables0.00
Inventory0.00
Other Current Assets6.27M
Total Current Assets132 M
Property, Plant & Equipment21.41M
Goodwill & Intangible Assets40.77M
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets1.45M
Total Non-Current Assets23 M
Total Assets
195.59M

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

6.59x

Excellent liquidity position. The company can easily cover its short-term obligations with substantial cushion.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

0.14x

Conservative capital structure. The company relies primarily on equity financing, indicating low financial risk.

Working Capital

112 M

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

67% Current

Asset-light business model with high liquidity. Majority of assets are easily convertible to cash.

Financial Health Insight

Strong financial foundation: Excellent liquidity combined with conservative leverage suggests the company is well-positioned to weather economic uncertainties and fund growth opportunities.

absi

Absci Corporation Street Expectations Map

ABSI ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that ABSI stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 7.03, with estimates ranging from a low of 4.10 to a high of 9.00.

Lowest Target
4.10
-30.98%
Consensus Target
7.03
18.35%
Highest Target
9.00
51.52%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 7.03, with estimates ranging from a low of 4.10 to a high of 9.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+18.4%

Strong upside potential. Consensus indicates attractive return opportunity with favorable risk-reward profile.

Analyst Agreement

69.7% spread

High uncertainty. Very wide target spread indicates significant disagreement among analystsโ€”major valuation uncertainty or transformation underway.

Risk-Reward Profile

1.66x

Balanced risk-reward. Upside and downside potential relatively symmetric. Suitable for moderate risk tolerance with conviction in thesis.

Analyst Conviction

Low

High uncertainty: Wide dispersion indicates analysts struggle to agree on valuationโ€”proceed with caution and independent analysis.

Market Sentiment Insight

High risk, high reward: Substantial upside potential exists, but wide analyst disagreement signals execution risk or unclear catalysts. Thorough due diligence essential before committing capital.

absi

Absci Corporation Insider Positioning

ABSI ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $1.68M and sold $332K worth of ABSI shares, resulting in $1.35M of net buying activity.

3 Months

Bought

137.5K

429.75K

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+430K

+$430K

3-6 Months

Bought

75.1K

205.76K

Sold

44.3K

132.33K

Net Activity

+73K

+$73K

6-9 Months

Bought

145.8K

430.59K

Sold

48.7K

179.30K

Net Activity

+251K

+$251K

9-12 Months

Bought

228.4K

612.27K

Sold

8.3K

19.88K

Net Activity

+592K

+$592K

Top Buyers

1
PMN

Pangalos Menelas N

Director

208.3K sharesโ€ข3 transactions

$661K

2
SMT

Szela Mary T

Director

178.4K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$460K

3
BA

Busch Andreas

Officer: Chief Innovation Officer

150.0K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$381K

4
VHF

Van Houten Frans

Director

40.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$149K

5
BT

Bedrick Todd

Officer: Svp, Cao

10.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$27K

Top Sellers

1
MS

Mcclain Sean

Director, Officer: Chief Executive Officer

50.1K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$166K

2
BT

Bedrick Todd

Officer: Svp, Cao

21.9K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$81K

3
JZ

Jonasson Zachariah

Officer: Cfo / Cbo

26.2K sharesโ€ข3 transactions

$74K

4
BA

Busch Andreas

Officer: Chief Innovation Officer

3.1K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$11K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bullish

Strong bullish signal with $1.35M net buying. Insiders are aggressively accumulating shares, suggesting significant confidence in future prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

5.06:1

Exceptional buy/sell ratio. Buying dramatically outweighs sellingโ€”one of the strongest possible insider signals.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$430K

Very strong recent buying momentum. Recent insider purchases significantly outpace sales, suggesting near-term optimism.

Insider Participation

Moderate Buying

5 insider buyers vs. 4 sellers. More insiders buying than selling indicates positive sentiment.

Insider Activity Insight

Strong confluence of bullish signals: High buy/sell ratio, multiple insiders participating, and recent buying momentum all point to significant insider confidence. This level of coordinated buying often precedes positive developments.

No Dividend Yield Data

ABSI has not reported any dividend yield values in the available annual periods.

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absi Dividend History

ABSI
10Y CAGR +0%
Latest $0
Annual $0
Stable dividend payments
Last Period: +0%