AAL - NASDAQ
American Airlines Group Inc.
$13.57
+0.074%American Airlines Group Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a network air carrier. The company provides scheduled air transportation services for passengers and cargo through its hubs in Charlotte, Chicago, Dallas/Fort Worth, Los Angeles, Miami, New York, Philadelphia, Phoenix, and Washington, D.C., as well as through partner gateways in London, Madrid, Seattle/Tacoma, Sydney, and Tokyo. As of December 31, 2021, it operated a mainline fleet of 865 aircraft. The company was formerly known as AMR Corporation and changed its name to American Airlines Group Inc. in December 2013. American Airlines Group Inc. was founded in 1930 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, Texas.
At a Glance
Live SnapshotAmerican Airlines Group Inc. Fair Value Envelope
Owner Earnings Valuation Tool
Warren Buffett's Owner Earnings DCF analysis for intrinsic value calculation
Historical Financial Data
Base year metrics used for projections
Projection Settings
Forecast period and terminal assumptions
DCF Valuation Summary
Calculation flow from present value to intrinsic value per share
Owner Earnings Projections
Operating Cash Flow - Maintenance CapEx = Owner Earnings
| Metric | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | Year 6 | Year 7 | Year 8 | Year 9 | Year 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $1.5B | $774.8M | $387.4M | $193.7M | $96.8M | $48.4M | $24.2M | $12.1M | $6.1M | $3.0M |
| Maintenance CapEx | -$377.9M | -$189.0M | -$94.5M | -$47.2M | -$23.6M | -$11.8M | -$5.9M | -$3.0M | -$1.5M | -$738.1K |
| Owner Earnings | $1.2B | $585.8M | $292.9M | $146.5M | $73.2M | $36.6M | $18.3M | $9.2M | $4.6M | $2.3M |
| Discount Factor | 0.926 | 0.857 | 0.794 | 0.735 | 0.681 | 0.630 | 0.583 | 0.540 | 0.500 | 0.463 |
| Present Value | $1.1B | $502.2M | $232.5M | $107.6M | $49.8M | $23.1M | $10.7M | $4.9M | $2.3M | $1.1M |
Related Guides
Research Paths
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.