$1.96
-6.7%Ur-Energy Inc. engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and operation of uranium mineral properties. The company holds interests in 12 projects located in the United States. Its flagship property is the Lost Creek project comprising a total of approximately 1,800 unpatented mining claims and three Wyoming mineral leases covering an area of approximately 48,000 acres located in the Great Divide Basin, Wyoming. The company was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Littleton, Colorado.
Warren Buffett's Owner Earnings DCF analysis for intrinsic value calculation
Base year metrics used for projections
Forecast period and terminal assumptions
Calculation flow from present value to intrinsic value per share
Operating Cash Flow - Maintenance CapEx = Owner Earnings
| Metric | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | Year 6 | Year 7 | Year 8 | Year 9 | Year 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | -$50.7M | -$59.6M | -$70.1M | -$82.4M | -$96.8M | -$113.8M | -$133.8M | -$157.3M | -$185.0M | -$217.4M |
| Maintenance CapEx | -$5.6M | -$6.5M | -$7.7M | -$9.0M | -$10.6M | -$12.5M | -$14.7M | -$17.2M | -$20.3M | -$23.8M |
| Owner Earnings | -$56.3M | -$66.1M | -$77.7M | -$91.4M | -$107.4M | -$126.3M | -$148.5M | -$174.6M | -$205.2M | -$241.3M |
| Discount Factor | 0.926 | 0.857 | 0.794 | 0.735 | 0.681 | 0.630 | 0.583 | 0.540 | 0.500 | 0.463 |
| Present Value | -$52.1M | -$56.7M | -$61.7M | -$67.2M | -$73.1M | -$79.6M | -$86.6M | -$94.3M | -$102.7M | -$111.7M |
Snapshot
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Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.