TMD Energy Limited
$2.33
-4.1%TMD Energy Limited, an investment holding company, provides marine fuel bunkering services in Hong Kong, Malaysia, Indonesia, Singapore, and Vietnam. The company involved in marketing and supply of marine gas and fuel oil, including high sulfur fuel oil, low sulfur fuel oil, and very low sulfur fuel oil products to ships and vessels. It also provides vessel chartering and ship management services for in-house and external vessels; sale of cargo oil and fresh water; and general cleaning and disinfecting services. It operates with a fleet of 15 well-maintained bunkering vessels. TMD Energy Limited was incorporated in 2023 and is based in the Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia. TMD Energy Limited is a subsidiary of Straits Energy Resources Berhad.
At a Glance
Live SnapshotIntrinsic Alpha Methodology
Thesis Lenses
Signal
High confidenceValuation multiple is elevated (P/E 44.7).
Valuation inputs: P/E 44.7, earnings yield +2.2%, momentum -4.1%.
If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.
Driver
High confidenceReturn profile is soft (ROE +10.5%, ROIC +3.6%).
Profitability stack: net margin +0.3%, ROE +10.5%, ROIC +3.6%.
Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.
Risk
High confidenceDownside profile is elevated and scenario stress-testing is essential.
Risk factors: liabilities/assets +82.6%, momentum -4.1%, net margin +0.3%.
Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.
TMD Energy Limited Market vs Earnings Trajectory
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TMD Energy Limited Fair Value Envelope
TMD Energy Limited Profit Bridge
Profitability Analysis
Gross Margin
Thin margins leave little room for error. Cost management and pricing strategy are critical.
Operating Margin
Minimal operating profit suggests high operating costs or pricing challenges. Scalability is concerning.
Net Profit Margin
Minimal profitability after all expenses. Limited financial flexibility for reinvestment or shareholder returns.
Effective Tax Rate
Higher tax burden may reflect limited tax optimization or operations in high-tax jurisdictions.
Profitability Insight
Efficient profit conversion: Minimal margin compression from gross to net indicates lean operations and favorable tax/interest environment.
TMD Energy Limited Cash Conversion Engine
Cash Flow Quality Analysis
FCF Conversion Rate
Negative free cash flow despite positive earnings raises concerns about cash generation ability or heavy capital requirements.
CapEx Intensity
Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.
FCF Growth Trend
Significant FCF decline raises concerns. Urgent review needed of operational performance and capital allocation.
Working Capital Impact
Significant working capital drain. Growth may be consuming cash through inventory buildup or receivables extension—monitor closely.
Cash Flow Quality Insight
Cash flow concerns: Despite profitability, the company is burning cash. Review working capital management, CapEx levels, and sustainability of current operations.
TMD Energy Limited Funding & Solvency Profile
Financial Health Analysis
Current Ratio
Warning: Liquidity concerns. Current assets may not be sufficient to cover short-term obligations.
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
High financial leverage. Heavy reliance on debt may indicate increased financial risk and potential solvency concerns.
Working Capital
Negative working capital indicates short-term liabilities exceed short-term assets—potential liquidity stress.
Asset Composition
Asset-light business model with high liquidity. Majority of assets are easily convertible to cash.
Financial Health Insight
Financial stress indicators: Both liquidity and leverage metrics raise concerns. The company may face challenges meeting obligations and should focus on strengthening its balance sheet.
TMD Energy Limited Street Expectations Map
No Target Data
No analyst price targets available for tmde.
TMD Energy Limited Insider Positioning
During the last 12 months, there has been no insider trading activity reported for TMDE.
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Top Buyers
No buying activity
Top Sellers
No selling activity
Insider Activity Analysis
Net Insider Sentiment
No insider trading activity reported. This could indicate blackout periods, lack of conviction, or regulatory restrictions.
Insider Participation
No insider trading activity reported from any insiders in the past year.
No Dividend Yield Data
TMDE has not reported any dividend yield values in the available annual periods.
tmde Dividend History
Learning Layer
Related Guides
Build conviction on TMDE by pairing this stock hub with focused valuation guides.
Research Paths
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.