$20.82
+4.2%SIFCO Industries, Inc. produces and sells forgings and machined components primarily for the aerospace and energy markets in North America and Europe. The company's processes and services include forging, heat-treating, and machining. It offers original equipment manufacturer and aftermarket components for aircraft and industrial gas turbine engines; steam turbine blades; structural airframe components; aircraft landing gear components; aircraft wheels and brakes; rotating components for helicopters; and commercial/industrial products. The company also provides heat-treatment, surface-treatment, non-destructive testing, and select machining and sub-assembly of forged components. SIFCO Industries, Inc. was founded in 1913 and is based in Cleveland, Ohio.
Warren Buffett's Owner Earnings DCF analysis for intrinsic value calculation
Base year metrics used for projections
Forecast period and terminal assumptions
Calculation flow from present value to intrinsic value per share
Operating Cash Flow - Maintenance CapEx = Owner Earnings
| Metric | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | Year 6 | Year 7 | Year 8 | Year 9 | Year 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | -$133.5K | -$251.0K | -$472.0K | -$887.5K | -$1.7M | -$3.1M | -$5.9M | -$11.1M | -$20.9M | -$39.2M |
| Maintenance CapEx | -$182.0K | -$342.2K | -$643.5K | -$1.2M | -$2.3M | -$4.3M | -$8.0M | -$15.1M | -$28.4M | -$53.5M |
| Owner Earnings | -$315.5K | -$593.3K | -$1.1M | -$2.1M | -$3.9M | -$7.4M | -$13.9M | -$26.2M | -$49.3M | -$92.7M |
| Discount Factor | 0.926 | 0.857 | 0.794 | 0.735 | 0.681 | 0.630 | 0.583 | 0.540 | 0.500 | 0.463 |
| Present Value | -$292.1K | -$508.6K | -$885.5K | -$1.5M | -$2.7M | -$4.7M | -$8.1M | -$14.2M | -$24.7M | -$42.9M |
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.