Castellum, Inc.
$0.77
-13%Castellum, Inc. provides services in the areas of cybersecurity, information technology, electronic warfare, information warfare, and information operations. The company offers intelligence analysis, software development, software engineering, program management, strategic and mission planning, information assurance, cybersecurity and policy support, and data analytics services. It serves customers in the Federal government, financial services, healthcare, and other data application sectors. The company was incorporated in 2010 and is based in Bethesda, Maryland.
At a Glance
Live SnapshotIntrinsic Alpha Methodology
Thesis Lenses
Signal
Medium confidenceValuation multiple is compressed (P/E -28.4).
Valuation inputs: P/E -28.4, earnings yield N/A, momentum -12.6%.
If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.
Driver
High confidenceReturn profile is soft (ROE -6.7%, ROIC -6.6%).
Profitability stack: net margin -4.5%, ROE -6.7%, ROIC -6.6%.
Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.
Risk
High confidenceDownside profile is elevated and scenario stress-testing is essential.
Risk factors: liabilities/assets +24.9%, momentum -12.6%, net margin -4.5%.
Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.
Castellum, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory
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Castellum, Inc. Fair Value Envelope
Castellum, Inc. Profit Bridge
Profitability Analysis
Gross Margin
Strong gross margins indicate healthy pricing and efficient production or service delivery.
Operating Margin
Operating losses indicate the core business is unprofitable. Requires restructuring or revenue growth.
Net Profit Margin
Net losses indicate the company is burning cash. Sustainability depends on path to profitability.
Profitability Insight
Margin squeeze alert: Healthy gross margins but weak operating margins suggest excessive operating expenses. Cost optimization could unlock significant value.
Castellum, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine
Cash Flow Quality Analysis
FCF Conversion Rate
Strong cash conversion. Most reported earnings translate into actual cash flow, suggesting solid fundamentals.
CapEx Intensity
Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.
FCF Growth Trend
Significant FCF decline raises concerns. Urgent review needed of operational performance and capital allocation.
Working Capital Impact
Significant working capital drain. Growth may be consuming cash through inventory buildup or receivables extension—monitor closely.
Cash Flow Quality Insight
Working capital strain: Significant cash tied up in operations. Monitor receivables collection, inventory turns, and payment terms to optimize cash conversion cycle.
Castellum, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile
Financial Health Analysis
Current Ratio
Excellent liquidity position. The company can easily cover its short-term obligations with substantial cushion.
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
Conservative capital structure. The company relies primarily on equity financing, indicating low financial risk.
Working Capital
Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.
Asset Composition
Balanced asset mix between current and non-current assets, typical of many stable businesses.
Financial Health Insight
Strong financial foundation: Excellent liquidity combined with conservative leverage suggests the company is well-positioned to weather economic uncertainties and fund growth opportunities.
Castellum, Inc. Street Expectations Map
Wall Street analysts project that CTM stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 3.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 3.00 to a high of 3.00.
The consensus 1-year price target stands at 3.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 3.00 to a high of 3.00.
Analyst Consensus Analysis
Upside Potential
Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.
Analyst Agreement
High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.
Analyst Conviction
Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.
Market Sentiment Insight
Rare opportunity: Exceptional upside potential with strong analyst consensus creates a compelling setup. The combination of significant price target premium and tight agreement suggests high-conviction undervaluation that may attract institutional capital.
Castellum, Inc. Insider Positioning
During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $12K and sold $2.73M worth of CTM shares, resulting in $2.72M of net selling activity.
3 Months
17.0K
11.56K
85.0K
65.23K
-54K
-$54K
3-6 Months
0
0.00
236.0K
275.08K
-275K
-$275K
6-9 Months
0
0.00
1.1M
1.25M
-1.2M
-$1.25M
9-12 Months
0
0.00
1.0M
1.14M
-1.1M
-$1.14M
Top Buyers
Ives Glen R
Officer, Other: President
$8K
Merriman Andrew
Officer: Chief Operating Officer
$4K
Top Sellers
Wright Jay O
Director, Officer, Other: General Counsel, Secretary
$2.10M
Fuller Mark C
Other: Former Officer And Affiliate
$560K
Mcmillen Charles Thomas
Director
$65K
Insider Activity Analysis
Net Insider Sentiment
Strong bearish signal with $2.72M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.
Buy/Sell Ratio
Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.
Recent Trend (3 Months)
Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchases—may warrant investigation into company developments.
Insider Participation
3 insider sellers vs. 2 buyers. More insiders selling than buying suggests cautious or negative sentiment.
Insider Activity Insight
Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.
ctm Dividend History
Learning Layer
Related Guides
Build conviction on CTM by pairing this stock hub with focused valuation guides.
Research Paths
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.