Contango Ore, Inc.
$19.71
-8.3%Contango Ore, Inc., an exploration stage company, engages in the exploration of gold and associated minerals in the United States. It also explores for copper and silver deposits. The company, through its subsidiaries, leases approximately 675,000 acres from the Tetlin Tribal Council and approximately 13,000 State of Alaska mining claims for exploration and development; and owns 100% interest in the mineral rights to approximately 200,000 acres of State of Alaska mining claims located north and northwest of the Tetlin Lease. The company also holds interest in the Shamrock property that consists of 361 Alaska state mining claims covering approximately 52,640 acres. Contango Ore, Inc. was founded in 2009 and is based in Houston, Texas.
At a Glance
Live SnapshotIntrinsic Alpha Methodology
Thesis Lenses
Signal
Medium confidenceValuation multiple is compressed (P/E -5.6).
Valuation inputs: P/E -5.6, earnings yield N/A, momentum -8.3%.
If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.
Driver
High confidenceReturn profile is soft (ROE -29.9%, ROIC -15.3%).
Profitability stack: net margin 0.0%, ROE -29.9%, ROIC -15.3%.
Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.
Risk
High confidenceDownside profile is elevated and scenario stress-testing is essential.
Risk factors: liabilities/assets +99.0%, momentum -8.3%, net margin 0.0%.
Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.
Contango Ore, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory
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Contango Ore, Inc. Fair Value Envelope
No Revenue Data
CTGO has not reported any revenue values in the available annual periods.
Contango Ore, Inc. Profit Bridge
Profitability Analysis
No Gross Profit Margin Data
CTGO has not reported any gross profit margin values in the available annual periods.
No Operating Profit Margin Data
CTGO has not reported any operating profit margin values in the available annual periods.
No Net Profit Margin Data
CTGO has not reported any net profit margin values in the available annual periods.
Contango Ore, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine
Cash Flow Quality Analysis
FCF Conversion Rate
Negative free cash flow despite positive earnings raises concerns about cash generation ability or heavy capital requirements.
FCF Growth Trend
Flat FCF growth. Stable but not expanding—monitor for signs of business maturity or temporary headwinds.
Working Capital Impact
Significant working capital drain. Growth may be consuming cash through inventory buildup or receivables extension—monitor closely.
Cash Flow Quality Insight
Working capital strain: Significant cash tied up in operations. Monitor receivables collection, inventory turns, and payment terms to optimize cash conversion cycle.
Contango Ore, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile
Financial Health Analysis
Current Ratio
Acceptable liquidity, but monitor closely. Current assets just barely cover current liabilities.
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
Balanced capital structure with moderate leverage. Equity exceeds debt, suggesting healthy financial stability.
Working Capital
Positive working capital, but relatively tight. The company should monitor cash flow carefully.
Asset Composition
Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.
Contango Ore, Inc. Street Expectations Map
Wall Street analysts project that CTGO stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 32.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 32.00 to a high of 32.00.
The consensus 1-year price target stands at 32.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 32.00 to a high of 32.00.
Analyst Consensus Analysis
Upside Potential
Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.
Analyst Agreement
High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.
Analyst Conviction
Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.
Market Sentiment Insight
Rare opportunity: Exceptional upside potential with strong analyst consensus creates a compelling setup. The combination of significant price target premium and tight agreement suggests high-conviction undervaluation that may attract institutional capital.
Contango Ore, Inc. Insider Positioning
During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $186K and sold $2.19M worth of CTGO shares, resulting in $2.00M of net selling activity.
3 Months
10.0K
185.60K
34.5K
617.72K
-432K
-$432K
3-6 Months
0
0.00
29.7K
772.33K
-772K
-$772K
6-9 Months
0
0.00
0
0.00
+0
+$0
9-12 Months
0
0.00
37.8K
796.70K
-797K
-$797K
Top Buyers
Nauman Clynton R.
Director
$186K
Top Sellers
Van Nieuwenhuyse Rick
Director, Officer: President & Ceo
$897K
Shortz Richard
Director
$699K
Clark Michael Aaron
Officer: Cfo & Secretary
$504K
Larimer David Gregory
Officer: Vp Exploration
$50K
Green Darwin
Director
$37K
Insider Activity Analysis
Net Insider Sentiment
Strong bearish signal with $2.00M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.
Buy/Sell Ratio
Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.
Recent Trend (3 Months)
Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchases—may warrant investigation into company developments.
Insider Participation
5 insider sellers vs. 1 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.
Insider Activity Insight
Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.
No Dividend Yield Data
CTGO has not reported any dividend yield values in the available annual periods.
ctgo Dividend History
Learning Layer
Related Guides
Build conviction on CTGO by pairing this stock hub with focused valuation guides.
Research Paths
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.