Tractor Supply Company
Consumer CyclicalNASDAQ:TSCO · NASDAQ Global Select
-$0.18 today
Vol 5.85M · Avg 12.06M
Intrinsic Value
TSCO Intrinsic Value
Start with the valuation result. Compare the current market price with the system DCF estimate, then use the supporting sections below to decide whether the assumptions are reasonable.
Intrinsic Value
System DCF · consensus of 4 models
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Valuation History
Is TSCO cheaper or more expensive than usual?
Review how the market has valued Tractor Supply Company over time before deciding whether today’s discount or premium is unusual.
Price History
Dividend-adjusted closing price
Change
-38.69%
Period High
$61.61
Period Low
$29.14
Latest
$31.08
Analyst Targets
See where analysts expect TSCO to trade next
Compare the latest consensus target range with the current share price to understand how much upside or downside Wall Street is pricing in.
Wall Street Price Targets
1-year price history with analyst consensus target
Current
$31.08
Low Target
$36.00
Avg Target
$54.07
High Target
$63.00
Upside (Avg)
+73.97%
Alternatives to TSCO
Compare Tractor Supply Company with similar companies
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Competitors
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Fundamental Analysis
Capture the investment case and test company quality
Write down the key idea, risks, and what would change your mind. Then review growth, profitability, returns, owner payouts, and insider activity.
My Notes
Journal entries for TSCO
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Quality Snapshot
Start with the numbers that compound value
Check whether earnings, revenue, equity, cash, and returns on capital are moving in the same direction as your written thesis.
Big Five Numbers
CAGR by period · ROIC shows average
| Metric | 10yr | 5yr | 3yr | 1yr |
|---|---|---|---|---|
EPS | N/A | N/A | +16.4% | +12.8% |
Revenue | N/A | N/A | +10.1% | +9.0% |
Equity | +9.5% | +9.8% | +11.1% | +5.5% |
Cash | N/A | N/A | -22.8% | +24.8% |
ROIC | 21.2% | 18.0% | 14.6% | 16.9% |
Analysis
Latest growth is strongest in Cash at +24.8% and weakest in Equity at +5.5%. Three-year average ROIC is 14.6%, which helps show whether that growth is being earned efficiently.
Growth Profile
Compare historical growth with forward expectations
Strong past growth matters more when analysts still expect the business to expand without relying on one temporary driver.
Growth Analysis
Historical CAGR & forward analyst estimates
| Metric | 10yr | 5yr | 3yr | Fwd Est. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | N/A | N/A | +16.4% | +11.4% (15yr)7 analysts |
| Revenue | N/A | N/A | +10.1% | +8.3% (15yr)11 analysts |
| Net Income | N/A | N/A | +14.1% | +9.6% (15yr)11 analysts |
| EBIT | N/A | N/A | +14.2% | +8.0% (15yr)11 analysts |
Analysis
Recent growth has been strongest in EPS at +16.4% over three years. Forward estimates point to EPS at +11.4% (15yr), giving you a quick check on whether expectations are accelerating or cooling.
Earnings Quality
Follow revenue through to net income
Use the waterfall to see which costs, margins, and operating lines explain how much of each sales dollar becomes profit.
Earnings Waterfall
Revenue to Net Income
Key Ratios
Analysis
$15.6B of revenue converted into $1.1B of net income for the selected period. Gross margin is 32.5% and net margin is 6.8%, showing how much revenue survives after costs and taxes. EPS is $2.04, tying the income statement back to per-share earnings.
Capital Efficiency
Measure how well Tractor Supply Company turns capital into returns
Returns on equity, invested capital, and assets help separate durable operators from businesses that only grow by adding more capital.
Return Metrics
ROE, ROIC & ROA over time
ROE
42.5%
avg 40.3%
ROIC
13.1%
avg 18.0%
ROA
10.0%
avg 13.3%
Analysis
ROE is currently the strongest return metric at 42.5% versus its period average of 40.3%. 3 of 3 return metrics are above their quality threshold, which helps indicate how efficiently the company turns capital and assets into profit.
Owner Returns
Review how cash comes back to shareholders
Dividends, buybacks, and debt paydown show whether excess cash is being reinvested, returned, or used to strengthen the balance sheet.
Shareholder Returns
Dividend, buyback & debt paydown yields
Dividend Yield (TTM)
3.02%
Buyback Yield (TTM)
2.27%
Debt Paydown (TTM)
0.00%
Total Yield (TTM)
5.29%
Analysis
Total TTM shareholder yield is 5.29% including 0.00% from debt paydown. The largest current contributor is dividends at 3.02%, which helps show whether capital returns are coming from direct cash payouts, share count reduction, or balance sheet cleanup.
Dividend Record
Check payout durability before counting on yield
A dividend is more useful when growth, payout ratio, and free cash flow support the current yield.
Dividends
Dividend history, growth & yield
Yield
3.02%
Annual Div/Share
$0.94
Payout Ratio
45.5%
Frequency
Quarterly
Shareholder Yield
5.21%
Next Ex-Date
Not announced
Next Payment
—
1Y Growth
+4.4%
3Y CAGR
+6.4%
5Y CAGR
+20.6%
Dividend Payments, Annual Total (TTM) & Yield
Analysis
The current indicated dividend yield is 3.02%, with TTM dividends of $0.94 per share. Three-year dividend growth is +6.4%, which helps show whether payouts are compounding or flattening. The payout ratio is 45.5%, so compare payout growth against earnings coverage. Payments are currently quarterly.
Company Overview
Understand how Tractor Supply Company makes money
Finish by grounding the numbers in the company profile, leadership, balance sheet, and free cash flow.
Key Information
Leadership
Put the business in management context
Company facts explain what Tractor Supply Company does; leadership context helps you judge who is responsible for capital allocation and execution.
Management
Key executives, compensation & ownership
| Name | Title | Compensation | Tenure | Age | Shares Owned | Ownership % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Harry A. Lawton | President, Chief Executive Officer & Director | $3.03M | — | 52 | $635,016.54 | 0.12% |
Melissa D. Kersey | Executive Vice President & Chief Human Resources Officer | $1.76M | — | 51 | $37,545.71 | <0.01% |
Kurt D. Barton | Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer & Treasurer | $1.38M | — | 54 | $51,595.01 | <0.01% |
Robert D. Mills | Executive VP, Chief Technology, Digital & Pet Specialty Officer | $1.24M | — | 53 | $121,968.27 | 0.02% |
Jonathan Seth Estep | Executive Vice President & Chief Merchandising Officer | $1.22M | — | 46 | $80,126.57 | 0.02% |
John Ordus | Executive Vice President & Chief Stores Officer | $1.13M | — | 49 | $96,031.21 | 0.02% |
Brad Rogers | Senior Vice President, Real Estate & Construction | — | — | — | — | — |
Matthew L. Rubin | Senior Vice President & President of Digital | — | — | 45 | $32,531.94 | <0.01% |
Neil Tenzer | Senior Vice President of Petsense | — | — | — | — | — |
Nicole Logan | Senior Vice President & General Merchandise Manager | — | — | — | — | — |
Thomas J. Sabatino Jr. | Interim General Counsel & Corporate Secretary | — | — | 67 | $0.00 | <0.01% |
Kimberley Gardiner | Senior Vice President & Chief Marketing Officer | — | — | 57 | $18,605.69 | <0.01% |
Mary Winn Pilkington | Senior Vice President of Investor Relations & Public Relations | — | — | — | — | — |
Colin W. Yankee | Executive Vice President & Chief Supply Chain Officer | — | — | 47 | $0.00 | <0.01% |
Craig Ledbetter | Senior Vice President, Distribution & Operations | — | — | — | — | — |
Insider Trading
SEC Form 4 transactions — last 12 months
Buys
0
$0.00
Sells
24
$24.89M
Net Sentiment
$24.89M
Net selling
Most Active
Jackson Denise L
8 transactions
1–10 of 24
Analysis
Insiders reported 0 buys worth $0.00 and 24 sells worth $24.89M over the last 12 months. That adds up to net selling of $24.89M. Jackson Denise L was the most active insider with 8 transactions.
Financial Position
Check what supports the company underneath the income statement
The balance sheet shows liquidity, debt, asset mix, and book value quality before you rely on earnings or growth assumptions.
Balance Sheet
Assets, liabilities & equity
| Cash & Equivalents | $224.3M |
| Receivables | $11.3M |
| Inventory | $3.6B |
| Other Current | $222.4M |
| Total Current Assets | $4.0B |
| PP&E (Net) | $7.2B |
| Goodwill | $398.2M |
| Other Non-current | $58.3M |
| Total Non-current Assets | $7.6B |
| Total Assets | $11.7B |
Analysis
Selected assets total $11.7B for Latest. The largest visible component is PP&E (Net) at $7.2B, about 61.4% of the tab total. Use the mix to judge balance sheet concentration, liquidity, leverage, and how much of book value is supported by tangible operating assets.
Cash Generation
Finish by testing whether profit turns into cash
Free cash flow connects accounting earnings to owner earnings, showing how much cash remains after reinvestment needs.
Free Cash Flow
Net Income to FCF bridge
Analysis
Analysis will appear once cash flow data is available for this period.
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